My Blog Posts, in Reverse Chronological Order
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The lone class I am taking this semester is STAT 210B, the second course in the PhD-level theoretical statistics sequence. I took STAT 210A last semester, and I briefly wrote about the class here. I’ll have more to say about STAT 210B in late May, but in this post I’d first like to present an interesting problem that our professor, Michael I. Jordan, brought up in lecture a few weeks ago.
The problem Professor Jordan discussed was actually an old homework question, but he said that it was so important for us to know this that he was going to prove it in lecture anyway, without using any notes whatsoever. He also stated:
“Your brain needs exercise.”
He then went ahead and successfully proved it, and urged us to do the same thing.
OK, if he says to do that, then I will follow his advice and write out my answer in this blog post. I’m probably the only student in class who’s going to be doing this, but I’m already a bit unusual in having a long-running blog. If any of my classmates are reading this and have their own blogs, let me know!
By the way, for all the students out there who say that they don’t have time to maintain personal blogs, why not take baby steps and start writing about stuff that accomplishes your educational objectives, such as doing practice exercises? It’s a nice way to make yourself look more productive than you actually are, since you would be doing those anyway.
Anyway, here at last is the question Professor Jordan talked about:
Let be a sequence of zero-mean random variables, each sub-Gaussian with parameter (No independence assumptions are needed). Prove that
for all .
This problem is certainly on the easier side of the homework questions we’ve had, but it’s a good baseline and I’d like to showcase the solution here. Like Professor Jordan, I will do this problem (a.k.a. write this blog post) without any form of notes. Here goes: for , we have
- Step (i) follows from Jensen’s inequality. Yeah, that inequality is everywhere.
- Step (ii) follows from noting that one can pull the maximum outside of the exponential.
- Step (iii) follows from the classic union bound, which can be pretty bad but we don’t have much else to go on here. The key fact is that the exponential makes all terms in the sum positive.
- Step (iv) follows from applying the sub-Gaussian bound to all variables, and then summing them together.
Next, taking logs and rearranging, we have
Since is isolated on the right hand side, we can differentiate it to find the tightest lower bound. Doing so, we get . Plugging this back in, we get
which proves the desired claim.
I have to reiterate that this problem is easier than the others we’ve done in STAT 210B, and I’m sure that over 90 percent of the students in the class could do this just as easily as I could. But this problem makes clear the techniques that are often used in theoretical statistics nowadays, so at minimum students should have a firm grasp of the content in this blog post.
Update April 23, 2017: In an earlier version of this post, I made an error with taking a maximum outside of an expectation. I have fixed this post. Thanks to Billy Fang for letting me know about this.
The two mainstream newspapers that I read the most, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal, both have recent articles about diversity and the tech industry, a topic which by now has considerable and well-deserved attention.
The New York Times article starts out with:
Like other Silicon Valley giants, Facebook has faced criticism over whether its work force and board are too white and too male. Last year, the social media behemoth started a new push on diversity in hiring and retention.
Now, it is extending its efforts into another corner: the outside lawyers who represent the company in legal matters.
Facebook is requiring that women and ethnic minorities account for at least 33 percent of law firm teams working on its matters.
The Wall Street Journal article says:
The tech industry has been under fire for years over the large percentage of white and Asian male employees and executives. Tech firms have started initiatives to try to combat the trend, but few have shown much progress.
The industry is now under scrutiny from the Labor Department for the issue. The department sued software giant Oracle Corp. earlier this year for allegedly paying white male workers more than other employees. Oracle said at the time of the suit that the complaint was politically motivated, based on false allegations, and without merit.
These articles discuss important issues that need to be addressed in the tech industry. However, I would also like to gently bring up some other points that I think should be considered in tandem.
The first is to clearly identify Asians (and multiracials1) as either belonging to a minority group or not. To its credit, the Wall Street Journal article states this when including Asians among the “large percentage of employees”, but I often see this fact elided in favor of just “white males.” This is a broader issue which also arises when debating about affirmative action. Out of curiosity, I opened up the Supreme Court’s opinions on Fisher v. University of Texas at Austin (PDF link) and did a search for the word “Asians”, which appears 66 times. Only four of those instances appear in the majority opinion written by Justice Kennedy supporting race-conscious admission; the other 62 occurrences of “Asians” are in in Justice Alito’s dissent.
The second is to suggest that there are people who have good reason to believe that they would substantially contribute to workplace diversity, or who have had to overcome considerable life challenges (which I argue also increases work diversity), but who might otherwise not be considered a minority. For instance, suppose a recent refugee from Syria with some computer programming background applied to work at Google. If I were managing a hiring committee and I knew of the applicant’s background information, I would be inspired and would hold him to a slightly lower standard as other applicants, even if he happened to be white and male. There are other possibilities, and one could argue that poor whites or people who are disabled should qualify.
The third is to identify that there is a related problem in the tech industry about the pool of qualified employees to begin with. If the qualified applicants to tech jobs follow a certain distribution of the overall population, then the most likely outcome is that the people who get hired mirror that distribution. Thus, I would encourage emphasis on rephrasing the argument as follows: “tech companies have been under scrutiny for having a workforce which consists of too many white and Asian males with respect to the population distribution of qualified applicants” (emphasis mine). The words “qualified applicants” might be loaded, though. Tech companies often filter students based on school because that is an easy and accurate way to identify the top students, and in some schools (such as the one I attend, for instance), the proportion of under-represented minorities as traditionally defined has remained stagnant for decades.
I don’t want to sound insensitive to the need to make the tech workforce more diverse. Indeed, that’s the opposite of what I feel, and I think (though I can’t say for sure) that I would be more sensitive to the needs of under-represented minorities given my frequent experience of feeling like an outcast among my classmates and colleagues.2 I just hope that my alternative perspective is compatible with increasing diversity and can work alongside — rather than against — the prevailing view.
The news is out that Sir Tim Berners-Lee has won the 2016 Turing Award, the highest honor in computer science. (Turing Award winners are usually announced a few months after the actual year of the award.) He is best known for inventing the World Wide Web, as clearly highlighted by the ACM’s citation:
For inventing the World Wide Web, the first web browser, and the fundamental protocols and algorithms allowing the Web to scale.
(You can also find more information about some of his work on his personal website, where he has some helpful FAQs.)
My first reaction to reading the news was: he didn’t already have a Turing Award?!? I actually thought he had been a co-winner with Vinton Cerf and Robert Kahn, but nope. At least he’s won it now, so we won’t be asking Quora posts like this one anymore.
I’m rather surprised that this announcement wasn’t covered by many mainstream newspapers. I tried searching for something in the New York Times, but nothing showed up. This is rather a shame, because if we think of inventing the World Wide Web as the “bar” for the Turing Award, then that’s a pretty high bar.
My prediction for the winner was actually Geoffrey Hinton, but I can’t argue with Sir Tim Berners-Lee. (Thus, Hinton is going to be my prediction for the 2017 award.) Just like Terrence Tao for the Fields Medalist, Steven Weinberg for the Nobel Prize in Physics, Merrick Garland for the Supreme Court, and so on, they’re so utterly qualified that I can’t think of a reason to oppose them.
This post serves as a continuation of my last post on the fundamentals of policy gradients. Here, I continue it by discussing the Generalized Advantage Estimation (arXiv link) paper from ICLR 2016, which presents and analyzes more sophisticated forms of policy gradient methods.
Recall that raw policy gradients, while unbiased, have high variance. This paper proposes ways to dramatically reduce variance, but this unfortunately comes at the cost of introducing bias, so one needs to be careful before applying tricks like this in practice.
The setting is the usual one which I presented in my last post, and we are indeed trying to maximize the sum of rewards (assume no discount). I’m happy that the paper includes a concise set of notes summarizing policy gradients:
If the above is not 100% clear to you, I recommend reviewing the basics of policy gradients. I covered five of the six forms of the function in my last post; the exception is the temporal difference residual, but I will go over these later here.
Somewhat annoyingly, they use the infinite-horizon setting. I find it easier to think about the finite horizon case, and I will clarify if I’m assuming that.
Proposition 1: -Just Estimators.
One of the first things they prove is Proposition 1, regarding “-just” advantage estimators. (The word “just” seems like an odd choice here, but I’m not complaining.) Suppose is an estimate of the advantage function. A -just estimator (of the advantage function) results in
This is for one time step . If we sum over all time steps, by linearity of expectation we get
In other words, we get an unbiased estimate of the discounted gradient. Note, however, that this discounted gradient is different from the gradient of the actual function we’re trying to optimize, since that was for the undiscounted rewards. The authors emphasize this in a footnote, saying that they’ve already introduced bias by even assuming the use of a discount factor. (I’m somewhat pleased at myself for catching this in advance.)
The proof for Proposition 1 is based on proving it for one time step , which is all that is needed. The resulting term with in it splits into two terms due to linearity of expectation, one with the function and another with the baseline. The second term is zero due to the baseline causing the expectation to zero, which I derived in my previous post in the finite-horizon case. (I’m not totally sure how to do this in the infinite horizon case, due to technicalities involving infinity.)
The first term is unfortunately a little more complicated. Let me use the finite horizon for simplicity so that I can easily write out the definition. They argue in the proof that:
Most of this proceeds by definitions of expectations and then “pushing” integrals into their appropriate locations. Unfortunately, I am unable to figure out how they did step (i). Specifically, I don’t see how the integral over somehow “moves past” the term. Perhaps there is some trickery with the law of iterated expectation due to conditionals? If anyone else knows why and is willing to explain with detailed math somewhere, I would really appreciate it.
For now, I will assume this proposition to be true. It is useful because if we are given the form of estimator of the advantage, we can immediately tell if it is an unbiased advantage estimator.
Advantage Function Estimators
Now assume we have some function which attempts to approximate the true value function (or in the undiscounted setting).
Note I: is not the true value function. It is only our estimate of it, so . I added in the subscript to indicate that we use a function, such as a neural network, to approximate the value. The weights of the neural network are entirely specified by .
Note II: we also have our policy parameterized by parameters , again typically a neural network. For now, assume that and are separate parameters; the authors mention some enticing future work where one can share parameters and jointly optimize. The combination of and with a policy estimator and a value function estimator is known as the actor-critic model with the policy as the actor and the value function as the critic. (I don’t know why it’s called a “critic” because the value function acts more like an “assistant”.)
Using , we can derive a class of advantage function estimators as follows:
These take on the form of temporal difference estimators where we first estimate the sum of discounted rewards and then we subtract the value function estimate of it. If , meaning that is exact, then all of the above are unbiased estimates for the advantage function. In practice, this will not be the case, since we are not given the value function.
The tradeoff here is that the estimators with small have low variance but high bias, whereas those with large have low bias but high variance. Why? I think of it based on the number of terms. With small , we have fewer terms to sum over (which means low variance). However, the bias is relatively large because it does not make use of extra “exact” information with for . Here’s another way to think of it as emphasized in the paper: is constant among the estimator class, so it does not affect the relative bias or variance among the estimators: differences arise entirely due to the -step returns.
One might wonder, as I originally did, how to make use of the -step returns in practice. In Q-learning, we have to update the parameters (or the “table”) after each current reward, right? The key is to let the agent run for steps, and then update the parameters based on the returns. The reason why we update parameters “immediately” in ordinary Q-learning is simply due to the definition of Q-learning. With longer returns, we have to keep the Q-values fixed until the agent has explored more. This is also emphasized in the A3C paper from DeepMind, where they talk about -step Q-learning.
The Generalized Advantage Estimator
It might not be so clear which of these estimators above is the most useful. How can we compute the bias and variance?
It turns out that it’s better to use all of the estimators, in a clever way. First, define the temporal difference residual . Now, here’s how the Generalized Advantage Estimator is defined:
To derive this, one simply expands the definitions and uses the geometric series formula. The result is interesting to interpret: the exponentially-decayed sum of residual terms.
The above describes the estimator for where adjusting adjusts the bias-variance tradeoff. We usually have due to the number of terms in the summation (more terms usually means higher variance), but the bias relationship is reversed. The other parameter, , also adjusts the bias-variance tradeoff … but for the GAE analysis it seems like the part is more important. Admittedly, it’s a bit confusing why we need to have both and (after all, we can absorb them into one constant, right?) but as you can see, the constants serve different roles in the GAE formula.
To make a long story short, we can put the GAE in the policy gradient estimate and we’ve got our biased estimate (unless ) of the discounted gradient, which again, is itself biased due to the discount. Will this work well in practice? Stay tuned …
Reward Shaping Interpretation
Reward shaping originated from a 1999 ICML paper, and refers to the technique of transforming the original reward function into a new one via the following transformation with an arbitrary real-valued function on the state space:
Amazingly, it was shown that despite how is arbitrary, the reward shaping transformation results in the same optimal policy and optimal policy gradient, at least when the objective is to maximize discounted rewards . I am not sure whether the same is true with the undiscounted case as they have here, but it seems like it should since we can set .
The more important benefit for their purposes, it seems, is that this reward shaping leaves the advantage function invariant for any policy. The word “invariant” here means that if we computed the advantage function for a policy and a discount factor in some MDP, the transformed MDP would have some advantage function , but we would have (nice!). This follows because if we consider the discounted sum of rewards starting at state in the transformed MDP, we get
“Hitting” the above values with expectations (as Michael I. Jordan would say it) and substituting appropriate values results in the desired equality.
The connection between reward shaping and the GAE is the following: suppose we are trying to find a good policy gradient estimate for the transformed MDP. If we try to maximize the sum of -discounted sum of (transformed) rewards and set , we get precisely the GAE! With here, we have , the residual term defined earlier.
To analyze the tradeoffs with and , they use a response function:
Why is this important? They state it clearly:
The response function lets us quantify the temporal credit assignment problem: long range dependencies between actions and rewards correspond to nonzero values of the response function for .
These “long-range dependencies” are the most challenging part of the credit assignment problem. Then here’s the kicker: they argue that if , then the transformed rewards are such that for . Thus, long-range rewards have to induce an immediate response! I’m admittedly not totally sure if I understand this, and it seems odd that we only want the response function to be nonzero at the current time (I mean, some rewards have to be merely a few steps in the future, right?). I will take another look at this section if I have time.
Value Function Estimation
In order to be able to use the GAE in our policy gradient algorithm (again, this means computing gradients and shifting the weights of the policy to maximize an objective), we need some value function parameterized by a neural network. This is part of the actor-critic framework, where the “critic” provides the value function estimate.
Let be the discounted sum of rewards. The authors propose the following optimization procedure to find the best weights :
where each iteration, is the parameter vector before the update, and
This is a constrained optimization problem to find the best weights for the value function. The constraint reminds me of Trust Region Policy Optimization, because it limits the amount that can change from one update to another. The advantages with a “trust region” method are that the weights don’t change too much and that they don’t overfit to the current batch. (Updates are done in batch mode, which is standard nowadays.)
Note I: unfortunately, the authors don’t use this optimization procedure exactly. They use a conjugate gradient method to approximate it. But think of the optimization procedure here since it’s easier to understand and is “ideal.”
Note II: remember that this is not the update to the policy . That update requires an entirely separate optimization procedure. Don’t get confused between the two. Both the policy and the value functions can be implemented as neural networks, and in fact, that’s what the authors do. They actually have the same architecture, with the exception of the output layer since the value only needs a scalar, whereas the policy needs a higher-dimensional output vector.
Putting it All Together
It’s nice to understand each of the components above, but how do we combine them into an actual algorithm? Here’s a rough description of their proposed actor-critic algorithm, each iteration:
Simulate the current policy to collect data.
Compute the Bellman residuals .
Compute the advantage function estimate .
Update the policy’s weights, , with a TRPO update.
Update the critic’s weights, , with a trust-region update.
As usual, here are a few of my overly-detailed comments (sorry again):
Note I: Yes, there are trust region methods for both the value function update and the policy function update. This is one of their contributions. (To be clear, the notion of a “GAE” isn’t entirely their contribution.) The value and policy are also both neural networks with the same architecture except for the output since they have different outputs. Honestly, it seems like we should always be thinking about trust region methods whenever we have some optimization to do.
Note II: If you’re confused by the role of the two networks, repeat this to yourself: the policy network is for determining actions, and the value network is for improving the performance of the gradient update (which is used to improve the actual policy by pointing the gradient in the correct direction!).
They present some impressive experimental benchmarks using this actor-critic algorithm. I don’t have too much experience with MuJoCo so I can’t intuitively think about the results that much. (I’m also surprised that MuJoCo isn’t free and requires payment; it must be by far the best physic simulator for reinforcement learning, otherwise people wouldn’t be using it.)
I didn’t understand the implications of this paper when I read it for the first time (maybe more than a year ago!) but it’s becoming clearer now. They present and analyze a specific kind of estimator, the GAE, which has a bias-variance “knob” with the (and , technically). By adjusting the knob, it might be possible to get low variance, low biased estimates, which would drastically improve the sample efficiency of policy gradient methods. They also present a way to estimate the value method using a trust region method. With these components, they are able to achieve high performance on challenging reinforcement learning tasks with continuous control.
As I stated in my last blog post, I am feverishly trying to read more research papers. One category of papers that seems to be coming up a lot recently are those about policy gradients, which are a popular class of reinforcement learning algorithms which estimate a gradient for a function approximator. Thus, the purpose of this blog post is for me to explicitly write the mathematical foundations for policy gradients so that I can gain understanding. In turn, I hope some of my explanations will be useful to a broader audience of AI students.
Assumptions and Problem Statement
In any type of research domain, we always have to make some set of assumptions. (By “we”, I refer to the researchers who write papers on this.) With reinforcement learning and policy gradients, the assumptions usually mean the episodic setting where an agent engages in multiple trajectories in its environment. As an example, an agent could be playing a game of Pong, so one episode or trajectory consists of a full start-to-finish game.
We define a trajectory of length as
where comes from the starting distribution of states, , and with the dynamics model (i.e. how the environment changes). We actually ignore the dynamics when optimizing, since all we care about is getting a good gradient signal for to make it better. If this isn’t clear now, it will be clear soon. Also, the reward can be computed from the states and actions, since it’s usually a function of , so it’s not technically needed in the trajectory.
What’s our goal here with policy gradients? Unlike algorithms such as DQN, which strive to find an excellent policy indirectly through Q-values, policy gradients perform a direct gradient update on a policy to change its parameters, which is what makes it so appealing. Formally, we have:
Note I: I put under the expectation. This means the rewards are computed from a trajectory which was generated under the policy . We have to find “optimal” settings of to make this work.
Note II: we don’t need to optimize the expected sum of discounted rewards, though it’s the formulation I’m most used to. Alternatives include ignoring by setting it to one, extending to infinity if the episodes are infinite-horizon, and so on.
The above raises the all-important question: how do we find the best ? If you’ve taken optimization classes before, you should know the answer already: perform gradient ascent on , so we have where is the function being optimized. Here, that’s the expected value of whatever sum of rewards formula we’re using.
Two Steps: Log-Derivative Trick and Determining Log Probability
Before getting to the computation of the gradient, let’s first review two mathematical facts which will be used later, and which are also of independent interest. The first is the “log-derivative” trick, which tells us how to insert a log into an expectation when starting from . Specifically, we have:
where is the density of . Most of these steps should be straightforward. The main technical detail to worry about is exchanging the gradient with the integral. I have never been comfortable in knowing when we are allowed to do this or not, but since everyone else does this, I will follow them.
Another technical detail we will need is the gradient of the log probability of a trajectory since we will later switch from above with a trajectory . The computation of proceeds as follows:
The probability of decomposes into a chain of probabilities by the Markov Decision Process assumption, whereby the next action only depends on the current state, and the next state only depends on the current state and action. To be explicit, we use the functions that we already defined: and for the policy and dynamics, respectively. (Here, represents the starting state distribution.) We also observe that when taking gradients, the dynamics disappear!
Computing the Raw Gradient
Using the two tools above, we can now get back to our original goal, which was to compute the gradient of the expected sum of (discounted) rewards. Formally, let be the reward function we want to optimize (i.e. maximize). Using the above two tricks, we obtain:
In the above, the expectation is with respect to the policy function, so think of it as . In practice, we need trajectories to get an empirical expectation, which estimates this actual expectation.
So that’s the gradient! Unfortunately, we’re not quite done yet. The naive way is to run the agent on a batch of episodes, get a set of trajectories (call it ) and update with using the empirical expectation, but this will be too slow and unreliable due to high variance on the gradient estimates. After one batch, we may exhibit a wide range of results: much better performance, equal performance, or worse performance. The high variance of these gradient estimates is precisely why there has been so much effort devoted to variance reduction techniques. (I should also add from personal research experience that variance reduction is certainly not limited to reinforcement learning; it also appears in many statistical projects which concern a bias-variance tradeoff.)
How to Introduce a Baseline
The standard way to reduce the variance of the above gradient estimates is to insert a baseline function inside the expectation.
For concreteness, assume , so we have no discounted rewards. We can express the policy gradient in three equivalent, but perhaps non-intuitive ways:
Step (i) follows from plugging in our chosen into the policy gradient we previously derived.
Step (ii) follows from first noting that . The reason why this is true can be somewhat tricky to identify. I find it easy to think of just re-defining as for some fixed time-step . Then, we do the exact same computation above to get the final result, as shown in the equation of the “Computing the Raw Gradient” section. The main difference now is that since we’re considering the reward at time , our trajectory under expectation stops at that time. More concretely, . This is like “throwing away variables” when taking expectations due to “pushing values” through sums and summing over densities (which cancel out); I have another example later in this post which makes this explicit.
Next, we sum over both sides, for . Assuming we can exchange the sum with the gradient, we get
where indicates the trajectory up to time . (Full disclaimer: I’m not sure if this formalism with is needed, and I think most people would do this computation without worrying about the precise expectation details.)
Step (iii) follows from a nifty algebra trick. To simplify the subsequent notation, let . In addition, ignore the expectation; we’ll only re-arrange the inside here. With this substitution and setup, the sum inside the expectation from Step (ii) turns out to be
In other words, each has its own row of -value to which it gets distributed. Next, switch to the column view: instead of summing row-wise, sum column-wise. The first column is . The second is . And so on. Doing this means we get the desired formula after replacing with its real meaning and hitting the expression with an expectation.
Note: it is very easy to make a typo with these. I checked my math carefully and cross-referenced it with references online (which themselves have typos). If any readers find a typo, please let me know.
Using the above formulation, we finally introduce our baseline , which is a function of (and not , I believe). We “insert” it inside the term in parentheses:
At first glance, it doesn’t seem like this will be helpful, and one might wonder if this would cause the gradient estimate to become biased. Fortunately, it turns out that this is not a problem. This was surprising to me, because all we know is that is a function of . However, this is a bit misleading because usually we want to be the expected return starting at time , which means it really “depends” on the subsequent time steps. For now, though, just think of it as a function of .
Understanding the Baseline
In this section, I first go over why inserting above doesn’t make our gradient estimate biased. Next, I will go over why the baseline reduces variance of the gradient estimate. These two capture the best of both worlds: staying unbiased and reducing variance. In general, any time you have an unbiased estimate and it remains so after applying a variance reduction technique, then apply that variance reduction!
First, let’s show that the gradient estimate is unbiased. We see that with the baseline, we can distribute and rearrange and get:
Due to linearity of expectation, all we need to show is that for any single time , the gradient of multiplied with is zero. This is true because
Here are my usual overly-detailed comments (apologies in advance):
Note I: this notation is similar to what I had before. The trajectory is now represented as . In addition, the expectation is split up, which is allowed. If this is confusing, think of the definition of the expectation with respect to at least two variables. We can write brackets in any appropriately enclosed location. Furthermore, we can “omit” the un-necessary variables in going from to (see expression above). Concretely, assuming we’re in discrete-land with actions in and states in , this is because evaluates to:
This is true because of the definition of expectation, whereby we get the joint density over the entire trajectory, and then we can split it up like we did earlier with the gradient of the log probability computation. We can distribute all the way back to (but not beyond) the first sum over . Pushing sums “further back” results in a bunch of sums over densities, each of which sums to one. The astute reader will notice that this is precisely what happens with variable elimination for graphical models. (The more technical reason why “pushing values back through sums” is allowed has to do with abstract algebra properties of the sum function, which is beyond the scope of this post.)
Note II: This proof above also works with an infinite-time horizon. In Appendix B of the Generalized Advantage Estimation paper (arXiv link), the authors do so with a proof exactly matching the above, except that and are now infinity.
Note III: About the expectation going to zero, that’s due to a well-known fact about score functions, which are precisely the gradient of log probailities. We went over this in my STAT 210A class last fall. It’s again the log derivative trick. Observe that:
where the penultimate step follows from how is a density. This follows for all time steps, and since the gradient of the log gets distributed for each , it applies in all time steps. I switched to the continuous-land version for this, but it also applies with sums, as I just recently used in Note I.
The above shows that introducing doesn’t cause bias.
The last thing to cover is why its introduction reduces variance. I provide an approximate argument. To simplify notation, set . We focus on the inside of the expectation (of the gradient estimate) to analyze the variance. The technical reason for this is that expectations are technically constant (and thus have variance zero) but in practice we have to approximate the expectations with trajectories, and that has high variance.
The variance is approximated as:
Approximation (i) is because we are approximating the variance of a sum by computing the sum of the variances. This is not true in general, but if we can assume this, then by the definition of the variance , we are left with the term since we already showed that introducing the baseline doesn’t cause bias. Approximation (ii) is because we assume independence among the values involved in the expectation, and thus we can factor the expectation.
Finally, we are left with the term . If we are able to optimize our choice of , then this is a least squares problem, and it is well known that the optimal choice of is to be the expected value of . In fact, that’s why policy gradient researchers usually want to approximate the expected return starting at time , and that’s why in the vanilla policy gradient algorithm we have to re-fit the baseline estimate each time to make it as close to the expected return . At last, I understand.
How accurate are these approximations in practice? My intuition is that they are actually fine, because recent advances in reinforcement learning algorithms, such as A3C, focus on the problem of breaking correlation among samples. If the correlation among samples is broken, then Approximation (i) becomes better, because I think the samples are no longer generated from the same trajectory.
Well, that’s my intuition. If anyone else has a better way of describing it, feel free to let me know in the comments or by email.
So far, we have assumed we wanted to optimize the expected return, or the expected sum of rewards. However, if you’ve studied value iteration and policy iteration, you’ll remember that we usually use discount factors . These empirically work well because the effect of an action many time steps later is likely to be negligible compared to other action. Thus, it may not make sense to try and include raw distant rewards in our optimization problem. Thus, we often impose a discount as follows:
where the serves as the discount, starting from 1, then getting smaller as time passes. (The first line above is a repeat of the policy gradient formula that I describe earlier.) As this is not exactly the “desired” gradient, this is an approximation, but it’s a reasonable one. This time, we now want our baseline to satisfy .
In this final section, we replace the policy gradient formula with the following value functions:
Both of these should be familiar from basic AI; see the CS 188 notes from Berkeley if this is unclear. There are also discounted versions, which we can denote as and . In addition, we can also consider starting at any given time step, as in which provides the expected (discounted) return assuming that at time , our state-action pair is .
What might be new is the advantage function. For the undiscounted version, it is defined simply as:
with a similar definition for the discounted version. Intuitively, the advantage tells us how much better action would be compared to the return based on an “average” action.
The above definitions look very close to what we have in our policy gradient formula. In fact, we can claim the following:
In (i), we replace terms with their expectations. This is not generally valid to do, but it should work in this case. My guess is that if you start from the second line above (after the “(i)”) and plug in the definition of the expectation inside and rearrange terms, you can get the first line. However, I have not had the time to check this in detail and it takes a lot of space to write out the expectation fully. The conditioning with the value functions makes it a bit messy and thus the law of iterated expectation may be needed.
Also from line (i), we notice that the value function is a baseline, and hence we can add it there without changing the unbiased-ness of the expectation. Then lines (ii) and (iii) are just for the advantage function. The implication of this formula is that the problem of policy gradients, in some sense, reduces to finding good estimates of the advantage function . That is precisely the topic of the paper Generalized Advantage Estimation.
Hopefully, this is a helpful, self-contained, bare-minimum introduction to policy gradients. I am trying to learn more about these algorithms, and going through the math details is helpful. This will also make it easier for me to understand the increasing number of research papers that are using this notation.
I also have to mention: I remember a few years ago during the first iteration of CS 294-112 that I had no idea how policy gradients worked. Now, I think I have become slightly more enlightened.
Acknowledgements: I thank John Schulman for making his notes publicly available.
Update April 19, 2017: I have code for vanilla policy gradients in my reinforcement learning GitHub repository.
The number of research papers in Artificial Intelligence has reached un-manageable proportions. Conferences such as ICML, NIPS, and ICLR others are getting record amounts of paper submissions. In addition, tens of AI-related papers get uploaded to arXiv every weekday. With all these papers, it can be easy to feel lost and overwhelmed.
Like many researchers, I think I do not read enough research papers. This year, I resolved to change that, so I started an open-source GitHub repository called “Paper Notes” where I list papers that I’ve read along with my personal notes and summaries, if any. Papers without such notes are currently on my TODO radar.
After almost three months, I’m somewhat pleased with my reading progress. There are a healthy number of papers (plus notes) listed, arranged by subject matter and then further arranged by year. Not enough for me, but certainly not terrible either.
I was inspired to make this by seeing Denny Britz’s similar repository, along with Adrian Colyer’s blog. My repository is similar to Britz’s, though my aim is not to list all papers in Deep Learning, but to write down the ones that I actually plan to read at some point. (I see other repositories where people simply list Deep Learning papers without notes, which seems pretty pointless to me.) Colyer’s blog posts represent the kind of notes that I’d like to take for each paper, but I know that I can’t dedicate that much time to fine-tuning notes.
Why did I choose GitHub as the backend for my paper management, rather than something like Mendeley? First, GitHub is the default place where (pretty much) everyone in AI puts their open-source stuff: blogs, code, you name it. I’m already used to GitHub, so Mendeley would have to provide some serious benefit for me to switch over. I also don’t need to use advanced annotation and organizing materials, given that the top papers are easily searchable online (including their BibTeX references). In addition, by making my Paper Notes repository online, I can show this as evidence to others that I’m reading papers. Maybe this will even impress a few folks, and I say this only because everyone wants to be noticed in some way; that’s partly Colyer’s inspiration for his blog. So I think, on balance, it will be useful for me to keep updating this repository.
There’s an opinion piece in the New York Times by Moises Velasquez-Manoff which talks about (drum roll please) biracial people. As he mentions:
Multiracials make up an estimated 7 percent of Americans, according to the Pew Research Center, and they’re predicted to grow to 20 percent by 2050.
Thus, I suspect that sometime in the next few decades, we will start talking about race in terms of precise racial percentages, such as “100 percent White” or in rarer cases, “25 percent White, 25 percent Asian, 25 percent Black, and 25 percent Native American.” (Incidentally, I’m not sure why the article uses “Biracial” when “Multiracial” would clearly have been a more appropriate term; it was likely due to the Barack Obama factor.)
The phrase “precise racial percentages” is misleading. Since all humans came from the same ancestor, at some point in history we must have been “one race.” For the sake of defining these racial percentages, we can take a date — say 4000BC — when, presumably, the various races were sufficiently different, ensconced in their respective geographic regions, and when interracial marriages (or rape) was at a minimum. All humans alive at that point thus get a “100 percent [insert_race_here]” attached to them, and we do the arithmetic from there.
What usually happens in practice, though, is that we often default to describing one part of one race, particularly with people who are percent Black, where . This is a relic of the embarrassing “One Drop Rule” the United States had, but for now it’s probably — well, I hope — more for self-selecting racial identity.
Listing precise racial percentages would help us better identify people who are not easy to immediately peg in racial categories, which will increasingly become an issue as more and more multiracial people like me blur the lines between the races. In fact, this is already a problem for me even with single-race people: I sometimes cannot distinguish between Hispanics versus Whites. For instance, I thought Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio were 100 percent White.
Understanding race is also important when considering racial diversity and various ethical or sensitive questions over who should get “preferences.” For instance, I wonder if people label me as a “privileged white male” or if I get a pass for being biracial? Another question: for a job at a firm which has had a history of racial discrimination and is trying to make up for that, should the applicant who is 75 percent Black, 25 percent White, get a hair’s preference versus someone who is 25 percent Black and 75 percent White? Would this also apply if they actually have very similar skin color?
In other words, does one weigh more towards the looks or the precise percentages? I think the precise percentages method is the way schools, businesses, and government operate, despite how this isn’t the case in casual conversations.
Anyway, these are some of the thoughts that I have as we move towards a more racially diverse society, as multiracial people cannot have single-race children outside of adoption.
Back to the article: as one would expect, it discusses the benefits of racial diversity. I can agree with the following passage:
Social scientists find that homogeneous groups like [Donald Trump’s] cabinet can be less creative and insightful than diverse ones. They are more prone to groupthink and less likely to question faulty assumptions.
The caveat is that this assumes the people involved are equally qualified; a racially homogeneous (in whatever race), but extremely well-educated cabinet would be much better than a racially diverse cabinet where no one even finished high school. But controlling for quality, I can agree.
Diversity also benefits individuals, as the author notes. It is here where Mr. Velasquez-Manoff points out that Barack Obama was not just Black, but also biracial, which may have benefited his personal development. Multiracials make up a large fraction of the population in racially diverse Hawaii, where Obama was born (albeit, probably with more Asian-White overlap).
Yes, I agree that diversity is important for a variety of reasons. It is not easy, however:
It’s hard to know what to do about this except to acknowledge that diversity isn’t easy. It’s uncomfortable. It can make people feel threatened. “We promote diversity. We believe in diversity. But diversity is hard,” Sophie Trawalter, a psychologist at the University of Virginia, told me.
That very difficulty, though, may be why diversity is so good for us. “The pain associated with diversity can be thought of as the pain of exercise,” Katherine Phillips, a senior vice dean at Columbia Business School, writes. “You have to push yourself to grow your muscles.”
I cannot agree more.
Closer, more meaningful contact with those of other races may help assuage the underlying anxiety. Some years back, Dr. Gaither of Duke ran an intriguing study in which incoming white college students were paired with either same-race or different-race roommates. After four months, roommates who lived with different races had a more diverse group of friends and considered diversity more important, compared with those with same-race roommates. After six months, they were less anxious and more pleasant in interracial interactions.
Ouch, this felt like a blindsiding attack, and is definitely my main gripe with this article. In college, I had two roommates, both of whom have a different racial makeup than me. They both seemed to be relatively popular and had little difficulty mingling with a diverse group of students. Unfortunately, I certainly did not have a “diverse group of friends.” After all, if there was a prize for college for “least popular student” I would be a perennial contender. (As incredible as it may sound, in high school, where things were worse for me, I can remember a handful of people who might have been even lower on the social hierarchy.)
Well, I guess what I want to say is that, this attack notwithstanding, Mr. Velasquez-Manoff’s article brings up interesting and reasonably accurate points about biracial people. At the very least, he writes about concepts which are sometimes glossed over or under-appreciated nowadays in our discussions about race.
Over the last few weeks, I’ve been learning more about some mysterious thing called Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs). GANs originally came out of a 2014 NIPS paper (read it here) and have had a remarkable impact on machine learning. I’m surprised that, until I was the TA for Berkeley’s Deep Learning class last semester, I had never heard of GANs before.1
They certainly haven’t gone unnoticed in the machine learning community, though. Yann LeCun, one of the leaders in the Deep Learning community, had this to say about them during his Quora session on July 28, 2016:
The most important one, in my opinion, is adversarial training (also called GAN for Generative Adversarial Networks). This is an idea that was originally proposed by Ian Goodfellow when he was a student with Yoshua Bengio at the University of Montreal (he since moved to Google Brain and recently to OpenAI).
This, and the variations that are now being proposed is the most interesting idea in the last 10 years in ML, in my opinion.
If he says something like that about GANs, then I have no excuse for not learning about them. Thus, I read what is probably the highest-quality general overview available nowadays: Ian Goodfellow’s tutorial on arXiv, which he then presented in some form at NIPS 2016. This was really helpful for me, and I hope that later, I can write something like this (but on another topic in AI).
I won’t repeat what GANs can do here. Rather, I’m more interested in knowing how GANs are trained. Following now are some of the most important insights I gained from reading the tutorial:
Major Insight 1: the discriminator’s loss function is the cross entropy loss function. To understand this, let’s suppose we’re doing some binary classification with some trainable function that we wish to optimize, where indicates the estimated probability of some data point being in the first class. To get the predicted probability of being in the second class, we just do . The output of must therefore be constrained in , which is easy to do if we tack on a sigmoid layer at the end. Furthermore, let be the input-label pairing for training data points.
The cross entropy between two distributions, which we’ll call and , is defined as
where and denote a “true” and an “empirical/estimated” distribution, respectively. Both are discrete distributions, hence we can sum over their individual components, denoted with . (We would need to have an integral instead of a sum if they were continuous.)
To apply this loss function to the current binary classification task, we define the true distribution as if , or if . Putting in 2-D vector form, it’s either or . Intuitively, we know for sure which class this belongs to, so it makes sense for a probability distribution to be a “one-hot” vector.
Thus, for one data point and its label, we get the following loss function, where here I’ve changed the input to be more precise:
Let’s look at the above function. Notice that only one of the two terms is going to be zero, depending on the value of , which makes sense since it’s defining a distribution which is either or . The other part is the estimated distribution from . In both cases (the true and predicted distributions) we are encoding a 2-D distribution with one value, which lets us treat as a real-valued function.
That was for one data point. Summing over the entire dataset of elements, we get something that looks like this:
In the case of GANs, we can say a little more about what these terms mean. In particular, our s only come from two sources: either , the true data distribution, or where , the generator’s distribution, based on some input code . It might be but we will leave it unspecified.
In addition, we also want exactly half of the data to come from these two sources.
To apply this to the sum above, we need to encode this probabilistically, so we replace the sums with expectations, the labels with , and we can furthermore replace the term with under some sampled code for the generator. We get
This is precisely the loss function for the discriminator, .
Major Insight 2: understanding how gradient saturation may or may not adversely affect training. Gradient saturation is a general problem when gradients are too small (i.e. zero) to perform any learning. See Stanford’s CS 231n notes on gradient saturation here for more details. In the context of GANs, gradient saturation may happen due to poor design of the generator’s loss function, so this “major insight” of mine is also based on understanding the tradeoffs among different loss functions for the generator. This design, incidentally, is where we can be creative; the discriminator needs the cross entropy loss function above since it has a very specific function (to discriminate among two classes) and the cross entropy is the “best” way of doing this.
Using Goodfellow’s notation, we have the following candidates for the generator loss function, as discussed in the tutorial. The first is the minimax version:
The second is the heuristic, non-saturating version:
Finally, the third is the maximum likelihood version:
What are the advantages and disadvantages of these generator loss functions? For the minimax version, it’s simple and allows for easier theoretical results, but in practice its not that useful, due to gradient saturation. As Goodfellow notes:
In the minimax game, the discriminator minimizes a cross-entropy, but the generator maximizes the same cross-entropy. This is unfortunate for the generator, because when the discriminator successfully rejects generator samples with high confidence, the generator’s gradient vanishes.
As suggested in Chapter 3 of Michael Nielsen’s excellent online book, the cross-entropy is a great loss function since it is designed in part to accelerate learning and avoid gradient saturation only up to when the classifier is correct (since we don’t want the gradient to move in that case!).
I’m not sure how to clearly describe this formally. For now, I will defer to Figure 16 in Goodfellow’s tutorial (see the top of this blog post), which nicely shows the value of as a function of the discriminator’s output, . Indeed, when the discriminator is winning, we’re at the left side of the graph, since the discriminator outputs the probability of the sample being from the true data distribution.
By the way, why is only a function of as suggested by the figure? What about the other term in ? Notice that of the two terms in the loss function, the first one is only a function of the discriminator’s parameters! The second part, which uses the term, depends on both and . Hence, for the purposes of performing gradient descent with respect to the parameters of , only the second term in matters; the first term is a constant that disappears after taking derivatives .
The figure makes it clear that the generator will have a hard time doing any sort of gradient update at the left portion of the graph, since the derivatives are close to zero. The problem is that the left portion of the graph represents the most common case when starting the game. The generator, after all, starts out with basically random parameters, so the discriminator can easily tell what is real and what is fake.2
Let’s move on to the other two generator cost functions. The second one, the heuristically-motivated one, uses the idea that the generator’s gradient only depends on the second term in . Instead of flipping the sign of , they instead flip the target: changing to . In other words, the “sign flipping” happens at a different part, so the generator still optimizes something “opposite” of the discriminator. From this re-formulation, it appears from the figure above that now has desirable gradients in the left portion of the graph. Thus, the advantage here is that the generator gets a strong gradient signal so that it can quickly improve. The downside is that it’s not easier to analyze, but who cares?
Finally, the maximum likelihood cost function has the advantage of being motivated based on maximum likelihood, which by itself has a lot of desirable properties. Unfortunately, the figure above shows that it has a flat slope in the left portion, though it seems to be slightly better than the minimax version since it decreases rapidly “sooner.” Though that might not be an “advantage,” since Goodfellow warns about high variance. That might be worth thinking about in more detail.
One last note: the function , at least for the three cost functions here, does not depend directly on at all! That’s interesting … and in fact, Goodfellow argues that makes GANs resistant to overfitting since it can’t copy from .
I wish more tutorials like this existed for other AI concepts. I particularly enjoyed the three exercises and the solutions within this tutorial on GANs. I have more detailed notes here in my Paper Notes GitHub repository (I should have started this repository back in 2013). I highly recommend this tutorial to anyone wanting to know more about GANs.
Ian Goodfellow, the lead author on the GANs paper, was a guest lecture for the class, where (obviously) he talked about GANs. ↩
Actually, the discriminator also starts out random, right? I think the discriminator has an easier job, though, since supervised learning is easier than generating realistic images (I mean, c’mon??) so perhaps the discriminator simply learns faster, and the generator has to spend a lot of time catching up. ↩
CS 231n: Convolutional Neural Networks for Visual Recognition is, in my biased opinion, one of the most important and thrilling courses offered by Stanford University. It has been taught twice so far and will appear again in the upcoming Spring quarter.
Due to its popularity, the course lectures for the second edition (Winter 2016) were videotaped and released online. This is not unusual among computer science graduate level courses due to high demand both inside and outside the university.
Unfortunately, as discussed in this rather large reddit discussion thread, Andrej Karpathy (one of the three instructors) was forced to pull down the lecture videos. He later clarified on his Twitter account that the reason had to do with the lack of captioning/subtitles in the lecture videos, which relates to a news topic I blogged about just over two years ago.
If you browse the reddit thread, you will see quite a lot of unhappy students. I just joined reddit and I was hoping to make a comment there, but reddit disables posting after six months. And after thinking about it, I thought it would make more sense to write some brief thoughts here instead.
To start, I should state upfront that I have no idea what happened beyond the stuff we can all read online. I don’t know who made the complaint, what the course staff did, etc.
Here’s my stance regarding class policies on watching videos:
If a class requires watching videos for whatever reason, then that video should have subtitles. Otherwise, no such action is necessary, though the course staff should attempt as much as is reasonable to have subtitles for all videos.
I remember two times when I had to face this problem of watching a non-subtitled video as a homework assignment: in an introductory Women’s, Gender, and Sexuality Studies course and an Africana Studies class about black athletes. For the former, we were assigned to watch a video about a transgender couple, and for the latter, the video was about black golfers. In both cases, the professors gave me copies of the movie (other students didn’t get these) and I watched one in a room myself with the volume cranked up and the other one with another person who told me what was happening.
Is that ideal? Well, no. To (new) readers of this blog, welcome to the story of my life!
More seriously, was I supposed to do something about it? The professors didn’t make the videos, which were a tiny portion of the overall courses. I didn’t want to get all up in arms about this, so in both cases, I brought it up with them and they understood my situation (and apologized).
Admittedly, my brief stance above is incomplete and belies a vast gray area. What if students are given the option of doing one of two “required” assignments: watching a video or reading a book? That’s a gray area, though I would personally lean that towards “required viewing” and thus “required subtitles.”
Class lecture videos also fall in a gray area. They are not required viewing, because students should attend lectures in person. Unfortunately, the lack of subtitles for these videos definitely puts deaf and hard of hearing students like myself at a disadvantage. I’ve lost count of the amount of lectures that I wish I could have re-watched, but it extraordinarily difficult for me to do so for non-subtitled videos.
Ultimately, however, as long as I can attend lectures and understand some of the material, I do not worry about whether lecture videos have subtitles. Just about every videotaped class that I have taken did not have subtitled lecture videos, with one exception: CS 267 from Spring 2016, after I had negotiated about it with Berkeley’s DSP.
Heck, the CS 294-129 class which I TA-ed for last semester — which is based on CS 231n! — had lecture videos. Were there captions? Nope.
Am I frustrated? Yes, but it’s understandable frustration due to the cost of adding subtitles. As a similar example, I’m frustrated at the identity politics practiced by the Democratic party, but it’s understandable frustration due to what political science instructs us to do, which is why I’m not planning to jump ship to another party.
Thus in my case, if I were a student in CS 231n, I would not be inclined to pressure the staff to pull the videos down. Again, this comes with the obvious caveat; I don’t know the situation and it might have been worse than I imagine.
As this discussion would imply, I don’t like pulling down lecture videos as “collateral damage”.1 I worry, however, if that’s in part because I’m too timid. Hypothetically and broadly speaking, if I have to take out my frustration (e.g. with lawsuits) on certain things, I don’t want to do this for something like lecture videos, which would make a number of folks angry at me, whether or not they openly express it.
On a more positive note … it turns out that, actually, the CS 231n lecture videos are online! I’m not sure why, but I’m happy. Using YouTube’s automatic captions, I watched one of the lectures and finally understood a concept that was critical and essential for me to know when I was writing my latest technical blog post.
Moreover, the automatic captions are getting better and better each year. They work pretty well on Andrej, who has a slight accent (Russian?). I dislike attending research talks if I don’t understand what’s going on, but given that so many are videotaped these days, whether at Berkeley or at conferences, maybe watching them offline is finally becoming a viable alternative.
In another case where lecture videos had to be removed, consider MIT’s Open Courseware and Professor Walter Lewin’s famous physics lectures. MIT removed the videos after it was found that Lewin had sexually harassed some of his students. Lewin’s harassment disgusted me, but I respectfully disagreed with MIT’s position about removing his videos, siding with then-MIT professor Scott Aaronson. In an infamous blog post, Professor Aaronson explained why he opposed the removal of the videos, which subsequently caused him to be the subject of a hate-rage/attack. Consequently, I am now a permanent reader of his blog. ↩
However, I wanted to bring up a striking point that really made me realize about how our world has changed remarkably in the last few years.
A few months ago, when I was first fitted with the hearing aids, my audiologist set the default volume level to be “on target” for me. The hearing aid is designed to provide different amounts of power to people depending on their raw hearing level. There’s a volume control on it which goes from “1” (weak) to “4” (powerful), which I can easily adjust as I wish. The baseline setting is “3”, but this baseline is what audiologist adjust on a case-by-case basis. This means my “3” (and thus, my “1” and “4” settings) may be more powerful, less powerful, or the same compared to the respective settings for someone else.
When my audiologist first fit the hearing aids for me, I felt that my left hearing aid was too quiet and my right one too loud by default, so she modified the baselines.
She also, critically, gave me about a week to adjust to the hearing aids, and I was to report back on whether its strength was correctly set.
During that week, I wore the hearing aids, but I then decided that I was originally mistaken about both hearing aids, since I had to repeatedly increase the volume for the left one and decrease the volume for the right one.
I reported back to my audiologist and said that she was right all along, and that my baselines needed to be back to their default levels. She was able to corroborate my intuition by showing me — amazingly – how often I had adjusted the hearing aid volume level, and in which direction.
Hearing aids are, apparently, now fitted with these advanced sensors so they can track exactly how you adjust them (volume controls or otherwise).
The lesson is that just about everything nowadays consists of sensors, a point which is highlighted in Thomas L. Friedman’s excellent book Thank You for Being Late. It is also a characteristic of what computer scientists refer to as the “Internet of Things.”
Obviously, these certainly aren’t the hearing aids your father wore when he was young.
I just signed a petition, Academics Against Immigration Executive Order to oppose the Trump administration’s recent executive order. You can find the full text here along with the names of those who have signed up. (Graduate students are in the “Other Signatories” category and may take a while to update.) I like this petition because it clearly lists the names of people so as to avoid claims of duplication and/or bogus signatures for anonymous petitions. There are lots of academic superstars on the list, including (I’m proud to say) my current statistics professor Michael I. Jordan and my statistics professor William Fithian from last semester.
The petition lists three compelling reasons to oppose the order, but let me just chime in with some extra thoughts.
I understand the need to keep our country safe. But in order to do so, there has to be a correct tradeoff in terms of security versus profiling (for lack of a better word) and in terms of costs versus benefits.
On the spectrum of security, to one end are those who deny the existence of radical Islam and the impact of religion on terrorism. On the other end are those who would happily ban an entire religion and place the blame and burden on millions of law-abiding people fleeing oppression. This order is far too close to the second end.
In terms of costs and benefits, I find an analogy to policing useful. Mayors and police chiefs shouldn’t be assigning their police officers uniformly throughout cities. The police should be targeted in certain hotspots of crime as indicated by past trends. That’s the most logical and cost-effective way to crack down on crime.
Likewise, if were are serious about stopping radical Islamic terrorism, putting a blanket ban on Muslims is like the “uniform policing strategy” and will also cause additional problems since Muslims would (understandably!) feel unfairly targeted. For instance, Iran is already promising “proportional responses”. I also have to mention that the odds of being killed by a refugee terrorist are so low that the amount of anxiety towards them does not justify the cost.
By the way, I’m still waiting for when Saudi Arabia — the source of 15 out of 19 terrorists responsible for 9/11 — gets on the executive order list. I guess President Trump has business dealings there? (Needless to say, that’s why conflict of interest laws exist.)
I encourage American academics to take a look at this order and (hopefully) sign the petition. I also urge our Secretary of Defense, James Mattis, to talk to Trump and get him to rescind and substantially revise the order. While I didn’t state this publicly to anyone, I have more respect for Mattis than any one else in the Trump cabinet, and hopefully that will remain the case.
One of the major difficulties in understanding how neural networks work is due to the backpropagation algorithm. There are endless texts and online guides on backpropagation, but most are useless. I read several explanations of backpropagation when I learned about it from 2013 to 2014, but I never felt like I really understood it until I took/TA-ed the Deep Neural Networks class at Berkeley, based on the excellent Stanford CS 231n course.
The course notes from CS 231n include a tutorial on how to compute gradients for local nodes in computational graphs, which I think is key to understanding backpropagation. However, the notes are mostly for the one-dimensional case, and their main advice for extending gradient computation to the vector or matrix case is to keep track of dimensions. That’s perfectly fine, and in fact that was how I managed to get through the second CS 231n assignment.
But this felt unsatisfying.
For some of the harder gradient computations, I had to test several different ideas before passing the gradient checker, and sometimes I wasn’t even sure why my code worked! Thus, the purpose of this post is to make sure I deeply understand how gradient computation works.
Note: I’ve had this post in draft stage for a long time. However, I just found out that the notes from CS 231n have been updated with a guide from Erik Learned-Miller on taking matrix/vector derivatives. That’s worth checking out, but fortunately, the content I provide here is mostly distinct from his material.
The Basics: Computational Graphs in One Dimension
I won’t belabor the details on one-dimensional graphs since I assume the reader has read the corresponding Stanford CS 231n guide. Another nice post is from Chris Olah’s excellent blog. For my own benefit, I reviewed derivatives on computational graphs by going through the CS 231n example with sigmoids (but with the sigmoid computation spread out among finer-grained operations). You can see my hand-written computations in the following image. Sorry, I have absolutely no skill in getting this up quickly using tikz, Inkscape, or other visualization tactics/software. Feel free to right-click and open the image in a new tab. Warning: it’s big. (But I have to say, the iPhone7 plus makes really nice images. I remember the good old days when we had to take our cameras to CVS to get them developed…)
Another note: from the image, you can see that this is from the fourth lecture of CS 231n class. I watched that video on YouTube, which is excellent and of high-quality. Fortunately, there are also automatic captions which are highly accurate. (There’s an archived reddit thread discussing how Andrej Karpathy had to take down the videos due to a related lawsuit I blogged about earlier, but I can see them just fine. Did they get back up somehow? I’ll write more about this at a later date.)
When I was going through the math here, I came up with several rules to myself:
There’s a lot of notation that can get confusing, so for simplicity, I always denoted inputs as and outputs as , though in this example, we only have one output at each step. By doing this, I can view the s as a function of the terms, so the local gradient turns into and then I can substitute in terms of the inputs.
When doing backpropgation, I analyzed it node-by-node, and the boxes I drew in my image contain a number which indicates the order I evaluated them. (I skipped a few repeat blocks just as the lecture did.) Note that when filling in my boxes, I only used the node and any incoming/outgoing arrows. Also, the and keep getting repeated, i.e. the next step will have equal to whatever the was in the previous block.
Always remember that when we have arrows here, the part above the arrow contains the value of (respectively, ) and below the arrow we have (respectively ).
Hopefully this will be helpful to beginners using computational graphs.
Vector/Matrix/Tensor Derivatives, With Examples
Now let’s get to the big guns — vectors/matrices/tensors. Vectors are a special case of matrices, which are a special case of tensors, the most generalized -dimensional array. For this section, I will continue using the “partial derivative” notation to represent any derivative form (scalar, vector, or matrix).
Our first example will be with ReLUs, because that was covered a bit in the
CS 231n lecture. Let’s suppose , a 3-D column vector
representing some data from a hidden layer deep into the network. The ReLU
operation’s forward pass is extremely simple: , which can be
The backward pass is where things get tricky. The input is a 3-D vector, and so is the output! Hence, taking the derivative of the function means we have to consider the effect of every on every . The only way that’s possible is to use Jacobians. Using the example here, denoting the derivative as where is a function of , we have:
The most interesting part of this happens when we expand the Jacobian and see that we have a bunch of derivatives, but they all evaluate to zero on the off-diagonal. After all, the effect (i.e. derivative) of will be zero for the function . The diagonal term is only slightly more complicated: an indicator function (which evaluates to either 0 or 1) depending on the outcome of the ReLU. This means we have to cache the result of the forward pass, which easy to do in the CS 231n assignments.
How does this get combined into the incoming (i.e. “upstream”) gradient, which is a vector . We perform a matrix times vector operation with that and our Jacobian from above. Thus, the overall gradient we have for with respect to the loss function, which is what we wanted all along, is:
This is as simple as doing
mask * y_grad where
mask is a numpy array with 0s
and 1s depending on the value of the indicator functions, and
y_grad is the
upstream derivative/gradient. In other words, we can completely bypass the
Jacobian computation in our Python code! Another option is to use
0] = 0, where
x is the data that was passed in the forward pass (just before
ReLU was applied). In numpy, this will set all indices to which the condition
<= 0 is true to have zero value, precisely clearing out the gradients where we
need it cleared.
In practice, we tend to use mini-batches of data, so instead of a single , we have a matrix with
columns.1 Denote the th column as . Writing out
the full Jacobian is too cumbersome in this case, but to visualize it, think of
having and then stacking the two samples into a
six-dimensional vector. Do the same for the output . The
Jacobian turns out to again be a diagonal matrix, particularly because the
derivative of on the output is zero for .
Thus, we can again use a simple masking, element-wise multiply on the upstream
gradient to compute the local gradient of w.r.t. . In our code we
don’t have to do any “stacking/destacking”; we can actually use the exact same
mask * y_grad with both of these being 2-D numpy arrays (i.e. matrices)
rather than 1-D numpy arrays. The case is similar for larger minibatch sizes
Remark: this process of computing derivatives will be similar to other activation functions because they are elementwise operations.
Affine Layer (Fully Connected), Biases
Now let’s discuss a layer which isn’t elementwise: the fully connected layer operation . How do we compute gradients? To start, let’s consider one 3-D element so that our operation is
According to the chain rule, the local gradient with respect to is
Since we’re doing backpropagation, we can assume the upstream derivative is given, so we only need to compute the Jacobian. To do so, observe that
and a similar case happens for the second component. The off-diagonal terms are zero in the Jacobian since has no effect on for . Hence, the local derivative is
That’s pretty nice — all we need to do is copy the upstream derivative. No additional work necessary!
Now let’s get more realistic. How do we extend this when is a matrix? Let’s continue the same notation as we did in the ReLU case, so that our columns are for . Thus, we have:
Remark: crucially, notice that the elements of are repeated across columns.
How do we compute the local derivative? We can try writing out the derivative rule as we did before:
but the problem is that this isn’t matrix multiplication. Here, is a function from to , and to evaluate the derivative, it seems like we would need a 3-D matrix for full generality.
Fortunately, there’s an easier way with computational graphs. If you draw out the computational graph and create nodes for , you see that you have to write plus nodes to get the output, each of which takes in one of these terms along with adding . Then this produces . See my hand-drawn diagram:
This captures the key property of independence among the samples in . To compute the local gradients for , it therefore suffices to compute the local gradients for each of the and then add them together. (The rule in computational graphs is to add incoming derivatives, which can be verified by looking at trivial 1-D examples.) The gradient is
See what happened? This immediately reduced to the same case we had earlier,
with a Jacobian being multiplied by a upstream
derivative. All of the Jacobians turn out to be the identity, meaning that the
final derivative is the sum of the columns of
the original upstream derivative matrix . As a sanity check, this is a
-dimensional vector, as desired. In numpy, one can do this with
something similar to
np.sum(Y_grad), though you’ll probably need the
argument to make sure the sum is across the appropriate dimension.
Affine Layer (Fully Connected), Weight Matrix
Going from biases, which are represented by vectors, to weights, which are represented by matrices, brings some extra difficulty due to that extra dimension.
Let’s focus on the case with one sample . For the derivative with respect to , we can ignore since the multivariate chain rule states that the expression differentiated with respect to causes to disappear, just like in the scalar case.
The harder part is dealing with the chain rule for the expression, because we can’t write the expression “”. The function is a vector, and the variable we’re differentiating here is a matrix. Thus, we’d again need a 3-D like matrix to contain the derivatives.
Fortunately, there’s an easier way with the chain rule. We can still use the rule, except we have to sum over the intermediate components, as specified by the chain rule for higher dimensions; see the Wikipedia article for more details and justification. Our “intermediate component” here is the vector, which has two components. We therefore have:
We fortunately see that it simplifies to a simple matrix product! This seems to suggest the following rule: try to simplify any expressions to straightforward Jacobians, gradients, or scalar derivatives, and sum over as needed. Above, splitting the components of allowed us to utilize the derivative since is now a real-valued function, thus enabling straightforward gradient derivations. It also meant the upstream derivative could be analyzed component-by-component, making our lives easier.
A similar case holds for when we have multiple columns in . We would have another sum above, over the columns, but fortunately this can be re-written as matrix multiplication.
How do we compute the convolutional layer gradients? That’s pretty complicated so I’ll leave that as an exercise for the reader. For now.
In fact, is in general a tensor. Sophisticated software packages will generalize to be tensors. For example, we need to add another dimension to with image data since we’ll be using, say, data instead of data (or data in my trivial example here). However, for the sake of simplicity and intuition, I will deal with simple column vectors as samples within a matrix . ↩
Keeper of the Olympic Flame: Lake Placid’s Jack Shea vs. Avery Brundage and the Nazi Olympics (Story of My Great-Uncle)
I just read Keeper of the Olympic Flame: Lake Placid’s Jack Shea vs. Avery Brundage and the Nazi Olympics. This is the story of Jack Shea, a speed-skater from Lake Placid, NY, who won two gold medals in the 1932 Winter Olympics (coincidentally, also in Lake Placid). Shea became a local hometown hero and helped to put Lake Placid on the map.
Then, a few years later, Jack Shea boycotted the 1936 Winter Olympics since they were held in Nazi Germany. Jack Shea believed – rightfully – that any regime that discriminated against Jews to the extent the Nazis did had no right to host such an event. Unfortunately, the man in charge of the decision, Avery Brundage, had the last call and decided to include Americans in the Olympics. (Due to World War II, The Winter Olympics would not be held again until 1948.) The book discusses Shea’s boycott – including the striking letter he wrote to Brundage – and then moves on to the 1980 Winter Olympics, which also was held in Lake Placid.
I enjoyed reading Keeper of the Olympic Flame to learn more about the history of the Winter Olympics and the intersection of athletics and politics.
The book also means a lot to me because Jack Shea was my great-uncle. For me, the pictures and stories within it are riveting. As I read the book, I often wondered about what life must have been like in those days, particularly for my distant relatives and ancestors.
I only met Jack Shea once, at a funeral for his sister (my great-aunt). Jack Shea died in a car accident in 2002 at the age of 91, presumably from a 36-year-old drunk motorist who escaped prosecution. This would be just weeks before his grandson, Jimmy Shea, won a gold meal in skeleton during the 2002 Salt Lake City Winter Olympics. I still remember watching Jimmy win the gold medal and showing everyone his picture of Jack Shea in his helmet. Later, I would personally meet Jimmy and other relatives in a post-Olympics celebration.
I wish I had known Jack Shea better, as he seemed like a high-character individual. I am glad that this book is here to partially make up for that.
On November 18, 2016, there was a fantastic essay in the New York Times by Mark Lilla of Columbia University called “The End of Identity Liberalism”. This essay will go down in history as one that I will remember for a long time.
I have long wanted to write something about identity politics, but I could never find the time to research and eloquently describe my beliefs on such a sensitive topic, so a concise reaction to Lilla’s essay will have to do for now.
Despite being a registered Democrat, one area where I seem to disagree with liberals — at least if we can infer anything from the 2016 election, which admittedly is asking for a lot — is over the issue of identity politics. I personally feel uncomfortable at best about the practice of identity politics. I also believe that, while identity politics obviously has well-meaning intentions, it accelerates the development of undesirable side effects.
Exhibit A: the election of Donald Trump (well, undesirable to most liberals).
When I was reading Lilla’s essay, the following passage hit home to me:
[Hillary Clinton] tended on the campaign trail to lose that large vision and slip into the rhetoric of diversity, calling out explicitly to African-American, Latino, L.G.B.T. and women voters at every stop. This was a strategic mistake. If you are going to mention groups in America, you had better mention all of them. If you don’t, those left out will notice and feel excluded. Which, as the data show, was exactly what happened with the white working class and those with strong religious convictions. Fully two-thirds of white voters without college degrees voted for Donald Trump, as did over 80 percent of white evangelicals.
While it is true that, if I had to pick any race to associate with the “privileged” label, white Americans would be the easy choice. However, as suggested by Joe Biden, it is difficult for the white working class to associate themselves with privilege and with identity liberalism.
Aside from the working class whites, another group of people in America who I believe “lack privilege” are people with disabilities. I also think that this group fails to get sufficient recognition compared to other groups (relative to population size). That is not to say that the group is ignored, but with limited time and money, political parties have to selectively choose what to promote and champion. Clinton talked about supporting disabled people in her campaign, but this was probably more motivated from Trump’s actions than a Democrat-led initiative to treat disabled people as a political group with higher priority than others. (Again, it’s not about being in favor of or against of, but about the priority level.)
After thinking about it, even though I might benefit from increased “identity politics” towards people with disabilities, I still would probably feel uncomfortable taking part or engaging in the practice, given that any such focus on a group of people necessarily leaves out others.
A second reason why I would feel uncomfortable is that within voting blocks, we are seeing increased diversity. According to exit polls of the 2016 election. Trump actually made gains among African Americans, Hispanic Americans, and Asian Americans compared to Mitt Romney! Sometimes I worry that the focus on labeling groups of people has the effect that Lilla observes later:
The surprisingly high percentage of the Latino vote that went to Mr. Trump should remind us that the longer ethnic groups are here in this country, the more politically diverse they become.
I wouldn’t want my beliefs pigeonholed just because of who I am. (Sadly, I have experienced several frustrating examples of this within the deaf community.)
Overall, I prefer the approach where policies are designed to bring everyone up together, so long as they are given an equal starting ground. I know that this is sadly not true in America yet. Therefore, if I had to support any form of identity politics, it would be one which focuses chiefly on improving the lives of children from low-income families within the first 5-10 years of life under the critical junction of education and nutrition.
I am under no illusions that part of why I did well in school is that I didn’t grow up in poverty. And indeed, being 50% Asian and 50% Caucasian might have helped (though Asians are often not treated as minority groups, and mixed-race people are often ignored in polls about race, but those are subjects for another day).
Ultimately, identity politics is probably not going to make or break my life goals at this point. My impetus in raising this discussion, however, is largely about my concern over the future of many students and old friends that I know from high school. Some come from low-income families and face challenges in their lives which are not prioritized by the current identity liberalism. For instance, I was shocked to learn this year when someone I knew from high school was recently arrested for attempted murder. I still have access to his Facebook page, and it’s heartbreaking to read. His wife posts pictures of him and his child and keeps asking him to “hang in there” until he can return to the family.
This guy is younger than me and his future already seems dashed. His biggest challenge in life is probably that he shares my disability, so I worry that people similar to him will never be able to escape out of their cycle of poverty. I hope that there is a way that we can move towards an identity-free future without the risk of alienating people like him, and also of course, with the effect of increasing the economic possibilities and fairness for all of us.
One of the advantages of having a four-week winter break between semesters is that, in addition to reading interesting, challenging non-fiction books, I can also catch up on reading academic research papers. For the last few years, I’ve mostly read research papers by downloading them online, and then reading the PDFs on my laptop while taking notes using the Mac Preview app and its highlighting and note-taking features. For me, research papers are challenging to read, so the notes mean I can write stuff in plain English on the PDF.
However, there are a lot of limitations with the Preview app, so I thought I would try something different: how about making a GitHub repository which contains a list of papers that I have read (or plan to read) and where I can write extensive notes. The repository is now active. Here are some papers I’ve read recently, along with a one-paragraph summary for each of them. All of them are “current,” from 2016.
Stochastic Neural Networks for Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning, arXiv, by Carlos Florensa et al. This paper proposes using Stochastic Neural Networks (SNNs) to learn a variety of low-level skills for a reinforcement learning setting, particularly one which has sparse rewards (i.e. usually getting 0s instead of +1s and -1s). One key assumption is that there is a pre-training environment, where the agent can learn skills before being deployed in “official” scenarios. In this environment, SNNs are used along with an information-theoretic regularizer to ensure that the skills learned are different. For the overall high-level policy, they use a separate (i.e. not jointly optimized) neural network, trained using Trust Region Policy Optimization. The paper benchmarks on a swimming environment, where the agent exhibits different skills in the form of different swimming directions. This wasn’t what I was thinking of when I thought about skills, though, but I guess it is OK for one paper. It would also help if I were more familiar with SNNs.
#Exploration: A Study of Count-Based Exploration for Deep Reinforcement Learning, arXiv, by Haoran Tang et al. I think by count-based reinforcement learning, we refer to algorithms which explicitly keep track of , state-action visitation counts, and which turn that into an exploration strategy. However, these are only feasible for small, finite MDPs when states will actually be visited more than once. This paper aims to blend count-based reinforcement learning to the high-dimensional setting by cleverly applying a hash function to map states to hash codes, which are then explicitly counted. Ideally, states which are similar to each other should have the same or similar hash codes. The paper reports the surprising fact (both to me and to them!) that such count-based RL, with an appropriate hash code of course, can reach near state of the art performance on complicated domains such as Atari 2600 games and continuous problems in the RLLab library.
RL^2: Fast Reinforcement Learning via Slow Reinforcement Learning, arXiv, by Rocky Duan et al. The name of this paper, RL^2, comes from “using reinforcement learning to learn a reinforcement learning algorithm,” specifically, by encoding it inside the weights of a Recurrent Neural Network. The hope is that the RNN can help encode some prior knowledge to accelerate the training for reinforcement learning algorithms, hence “fast” reinforcement learning. The slow part is the process of training the RNN weights, but once this is done, the RNN effectively encodes its own reinforcement learning algorithm! Ideally, learning this way will be faster than DQN-based and policy gradient-based algorithms, which are brute-force and require lots of samples. One trouble I had when reading this paper was trying to wrap my head around what it means to “learn a RL algorithm” and I will probably inspect the source code if I want to really understand it. Some intuition that might help: experiments are applied on a distribution of MDPs, i.e., randomly sampling closely-related MDPs, because the high-level learning process must optimize over something, hence it optimizes over the MDP distribution.
Deep Visual Foresight for Planning Robot Motion, arXiv, by Chelsea Finn et al. This paper takes an important step in letting robots predict the outcome of their own actions, rather than relying on costly human intervention, such as if a human were to collect data and provide feedback. In addition, models that are hand-engineered often fail on real, unstructured, open-world problems, so it makes sense to abstract this all away (i.e. pull humans out of the loop) and learn everything. There are two main contributions of the paper. The first is a deep predictive model of videos which, given a current frame and a sequence of future actions, can predict the future sequence of frames. Naturally, it uses LSTMs. (Note that these “frames” are — at least in this paper — images of a set of objects cluttered together.) The second contribution is a Model Predictive Control algorithm which, when provided raw pixels of the environment and the goal, can determine the sequence of actions that maximizes the probability of the designated pixel(s) moving to the goal position(s). The experiments test nonprehensile motion, or motion which does not rely on grasping but pushing objects, and show that their algorithm can successfully learn to do so with minimal human intervention.
Value Iteration Networks, NIPS 2016 (Best Paper Award), by Aviv Tamar et al. This introduces the Value Iteration Network, which is a neural network module that learns how to plan by computing an approximate version of value iteration via convolutional neural networks. I think I understand it: the number of actions is the number of channels in a convolutional layer, which themselves represent values, so by max-pooling over that channel, we get . VINs are differentiable, so by inserting it inside a larger neural network somewhere, it can be trained using end-to-end backpropagation. The motivation for VINs is from an example where they sample MDPs from a distribution of MDPs, specifically for Grid-World scenarios where start/goal states and obstacles are randomly assigned. When training on a fixed Grid-World, a DQN or similar algorithm can learn how to navigate it, but it will be unlikely to generalize on a newly sampled Grid-World. Hence, the agent is not learning how to plan to solve “Grid-World-like” scenarios; it doesn’t understand the goal-directed nature of the problem. More generally, agents need to plan on some model of the domain, rather than a fixed MDP. This is where VINs help, since they enable the entire agent architecture to map from observations to not only actions, but to planning computations. Another contribution of their paper is the idea of using another MDP, which they denote as along with the subsequent , etc., and then utilizing the solution to that for the original MDP .
Principled Option Learning in Markov Decision Processes, EWRL 2016, by Roy Fox et al. This paper is about hierarchical reinforcement learning, where the “sub-policies” at the base of the hierarchy are called “options”, and the higher-level policy is allowed to pick and execute them. This paper assumes a prior policy on an agent, and then uses information theory to develop options. For instance, in a two room domain, if we constrain the number of options to two, then one option should automatically learn to go from left to right, and another should go from right to left. The hardest part about understanding this paper is probably that there is no clear algorithm that connects it with the overall MDP environment. There’s an algorithm there that describes how to learn the options, but I’m still not sure how it works from start-to-finish in a clean MDP.
Taming the Noise in Reinforcement Learning via Soft Updates, UAI 2016, by Roy Fox et al. This paper introduces the G-learning algorithm for reinforcement learning, which I’ve correctly implemented (I hope) in my personal reinforcement learning GitHub repository. The central motivation is that the popular Q-learning algorithm learns biased estimates of the state-action values due to taking the “max” operator (or “min” in the case of costs). Therefore, it makes sense to use “soft updates” where, instead of taking the single best “successor action” as in the standard Q-learning temporal difference update, we use all of the actions, weighted according to probability. This is, I believe, implemented by imposing a prior policy on the agent, and then formulating an appropriate cost function, and then deriving a which enforces the “softness.” The G-learning algorithm relies on a tuning parameter which at the start of training values the prior more, and then as time goes on, G-learning gradually shifts to a more deterministic policy. The G-learning update is similar to the Q-learning update, except it uses information-theory to mitigate the effect of bias. I haven’t been able to do the entire derivation.
Aside from these papers being Artificial Intelligence-related, one aspect that seems to be common to these papers is the need for either hierarchical learning or increased abstraction. The former can probably be considered a subset of the latter since we “abstract away” lower-level policies in lieu of focusing on the higher-level policy. We can also abstract away the process of choosing MDPs or a pipeline and just learn them (e.g., the Deep Visual Foresight and the RL^2 papers). That might be something useful to keep in mind when doing research in this day and age.
Last year, I wrote a normal-length blog post about my three favorite books that I read that year. For 2016, I thought I would do something a little different: why not list all the books I read this year? That way, I won’t forget what I read, and if anyone complains to me saying “why do young adults nowadays spending time on social media instead of reading books?”, I can simply refer them to my blog. Genius!
I have done precisely that in this lengthy post, which I’ve been updating throughout the year by writing summaries of books as soon as I’ve finished them. I read 38 books this year. (Textbooks, magazines, newspapers, and research papers don’t count.) The summaries here are only for the non-fiction books that I read this year. I read three easy fiction books in January to get me warmed up,1 so the summaries here are for the other 35 books. Here’s a rough set of categories:
- Medicine and Surgery (4 books)
- Work Habits and Technology (4 books)
- History and Foreign Affairs (5 books)
- Religion (5 books)
- Science (4 books)
- NSA and CIA (3 books)
- Biographies and Memoirs (3 books)
- Miscellaneous (7 books)
Last note: books I especially liked are indicated with double asterisks by the title, ** like this **.
Group 1: Medicine and Surgery
I read all of Atul Gawande’s four books. Gawande is a famous surgeon who also gave the 2012 commencement speech for my alma matter. I think he’s an excellent surgeon-writer. His books contain a healthy amount of technical detail on surgery and medicine without going overboard to discourage the lay reader like myself. They not only give me a glimpse into what it must be like to work in medicine, but also make me appreciate my relatively good physical health. Some of the stories Gawande describes about his patients are absolutely shuddering.
Here are my thoughts on his books:
Complications: A Surgeon’s Notes on an Imperfect Science, Gawande’s first book and a finalist for the National Book Award, discusses the various complications and uncertainty that arise in surgery and medicine. It is divided into three parts: fallibility, mystery, and uncertainty. What happens when doctors make mistakes? And how do people feel about an inexperienced surgeon working on them? (After all, everyone has to start somewhere!) What about when there are cases that simply elude everyone? How about pure judgment calls? Each of the fourteen chapters covers a certain theme, and consists of several related stories. It’s a nice portrayal of how medicine faces some of the inherent difficulties in its field.
Better: A Surgeon’s Notes on Performance. Gawande explores different ways to get “better” at surgery and medicine. Like his last book, this one is a collection of loosely-related stories. In general, Gawande doesn’t directly propose solutions to various issues, but rather, he provides examples of how certain people at the top of their field (e.g., those treating cystic fibrosis) carry out their work, in comparison to “ordinary” people. There are also some interesting but awkward topics: how should physicians treat the handling of patient genitals, and how should doctors discuss their “bell curve” of performance and the possibility that they may be at the lower tail? While the book is a nice collection of stories, the selection and ordering of topics might seem somewhat haphazard. Still, I felt that – like other books – it gave me a glimpse into what it is like to be a surgeon.
** The Checklist Manifesto: How to Get Things Right ** is an enlightening book about the power of checklists. Drawing from a variety of fields, including airfare, construction, and (obviously) surgery, Gawande shows how checklists have increased the safety and efficiency of those tasks that most of us take for granted. Yes, he acknowledges that checklists are stupidly simple. But here’s the remarkable thing: why didn’t anyone else write about this earlier? And why, as Gawande points out, do people resist utilizing something enormously beneficial with virtually no extra cost? Consequently, I’m now thinking about where checklists might be applied to my own life. One qualm I had with this book, however, is that it seems to put a ton of statistics in terms of percentage points only (e.g., 22 percent said this …) whereas we need the raw number to understand the significance (e.g., 22 percent of 10000 people surveyed …). This book is on the short end (fewer than 200 pages) so it wouldn’t hurt to have a little more data and facts.
** Being Mortal: Medicine and What Matters in the End **. What is the role of doctors when treating patients who are near the end of their lives? Surgery and medicine often restrict their focus to “fixing stuff:” if a patient has a problem, then doctors should undergo the procedure that will prolong patient’s lives the most. But what if that leads to the patient going directly into a nursing home? What if the patient and his/her family are banking on being the one-percent of people who end up significantly better off after a specific procedure? Most examples of patient stories in Being Mortal concern cancer, a notoriously difficult disease to treat, and people are not always willing to undergo brutal surgery and chemotherapy. I should point out that this is not a book on assisted suicide; the book only dedicates about four pages to that topic, towards the very end. Rather, this book is about assisted living; how can we balance patient’s desires while considering their safety and their relatives’ (sometimes conflicting) desires? I liked this book a little more than I liked The Checklist Manifesto, and it made me think about what I would want to happen to my older relatives. And, of course, myself, but hopefully I won’t have to worry about that for a long time.
Group 2: Work Habits and Technology
In this group, I have two books by Georgetown computer science professor Cal Newport. I first became aware of Professor Newport’s blog back in high school when I Google-d “how to get good grades in college.” That search led me to a College Confidential thread which subsequently linked to his blog.
Professor Newport is a voracious reader (which I hope to be as well), so he recommends and discusses a number of books on his blog. I chose to read two of them.
So Good They Can’t Ignore You: Why Skills Trump Passion in the Quest for Work You Love. Here, Newport argues that the often-cited “follow your passion!” suggestion is actually terrible, and people are better suited at developing skills that will allow them to eventually figure out their dream jobs. In short: don’t quit your job now with the fantasy that you’ll enjoy this new thing you’re starting out next week – you’ll end up worse than you were when you started. It is true that I sometimes feel like I may not be in an ideal job for me, but then I think things over, and realize that the current PhD program I’m in is clearly training me for a lot of jobs. Even if being a professor isn’t in the cards for me, I’m still learning a lot about programming, about advanced computer science, about teaching, about making connections, etc. Thus, this book made me feel happy that I am spending my twenties in an intellectually stimulating environment where my main responsibility is to learn new things and blog.
** Deep Work: Rules for Focused Success in a Distracted World **. This is Professor Newport’s most recent book and arguably his best, which became a Wall Street Journal 2016 business bestseller. His hypothesis here – which was obvious to me from the start – is that deep work, which is a state in which one is able to focus very heavily on a topic, churning out lots of work in a short amount of time, is becoming rarer at a time when it’s becoming more valuable. The former is due to distractions from smart phones and social media, and the latter is because the knowledge economy means people can pay the best workers remotely rather than hire locally for less-skilled people. When I was reading this book to myself, I kept thinking: come on, why on earth am I not engaging in deep work? There’s a lot of advice here, and there’s no way I can integrate them all, but I’ve been able to take a few steps (e.g., as my Facebook “friends” can attest, I don’t check Facebook frequently, and I don’t have Twitter, Instragram, SnapChat, or whatever is popular nowadays, and I check my smart phone a lot less than most people). I agree with a lot of what Newport says here; it seems like so much common sense. I have to add, it’s also funny that this book got published at a time when a related Deep phenomenon called Deep Learning is hot in AI, but that’s a story for another day.
You Are Not a Gadget: A Manifesto, recommended by Professor Newport, is a 2010 book written by Jaron Lanier, one of the pioneers of virtual reality technology. Lanier worries that our early technological achievements have locked us in into suboptimal paths. In addition, he argues that many areas of technology are dehumanizing and favor the crowd or algorithm over individual human voices. To me, while it’s true that Wikipedia may be dehumanizing in some sense, things were arguably much worse pre-Wikipedia from a “dehumanizing perspective” (NOT a technological perspective). To take one example, as Robert Gordon describes in his fantastic book The Rise and Fall of American Growth2, human life before the “great inventions” from 1870-1970 was extremely isolating, particularly for rural families and farmers (and this continued to be the case in this era for many areas of the U.S., particularly in the Civil War-ravaged south). If a family is isolated from the rest of the world, that seems pretty dehumanizing to me. Overall, as you might tell, I have some mixed feelings about this book and do not revere it as much as Professor Newport, but it certainly brings up thought-provoking points.
Throwing Rocks at the Google Bus: How Growth Became the Enemy of Prosperity is a 2016 book by Douglas Rushkoff, which I became aware of after reading (guess what?) one of Cal Newport’s blog posts. The author of this book is an American media theorist (what’s that?) and this book provocatively argues that our economic “operating system” of capitalism is not the best for today’s world. The latest technology boom creates value not with real things, but with human data. In addition, it encourages start-ups to create value for shareholders instead of “the people”, and to sell immediately instead of generating revenue. Rushkoff heavily criticizes our obsession3 with economic growth mindset, arguing that further growth is limited and doesn’t actually provide much value beyond the top 1 percent. Instead, Rushkoff argues that we need to stop this growth mindset and ensure that business is designed to be peer-to-peer (as in, more like eBay, not Amazon!) and to re-introduce humans into the equation. This is not meant to be income redistribution; it’s meant to ensure that business can work more towards an equal distribution of wealth. He heavily criticizes Amazon, Uber, WalMart, and other companies whose goal is to destroy competition rather than to create value. From reading this book, I definitely became concerned about whether I’m exacerbating the issue by supporting Silicon Valley ideals (I use Uber, and Amazon …) and am ignoring the realities of how most people live. This book is something that I will try to remember and to extract policy solutions from. I get the feeling that many pro-business Republicans may be skeptical of his proposals. Even though they’re technically centrist, it may sound more like liberal/socialism policies, but I would urge readers to consider this book.
Group 3: History and Foreign Affairs
Another way for me to describe this category would be “Thomas Friedman and Michael Mandelbaum books” since all of the books in this category are written by them (in fact, one is co-authored by them!). For better or worse, most readers probably know Thomas Friedman from his columns at the New York Times. Michael Mandelbaum is professor emeritus at Johns Hopkins University, specializing in international affairs. I enjoyed these books.
** From Beirut to Jerusalem ** is a fascinating book about Thomas Friedman’s journey through the Middle East from 1979 to 1989, when he worked as a reporter and got to witness firsthand the people of Lebanon and Israel. The first half the book discuss his experience living in Beirut (in Lebanon). The second half of the book focuses on his life in Jerusalem, a religiously important city for Christians, Jews, and Muslims. The city was (and still is) hotly contested by Israelis and Palestinians. Throughout the book, Friedman discusses some history about how the Middle Eastern countries developed and why they are in constant conflict, but he also takes his reporting ability into account by describing detailed conversations and events he has witnessed. His extensive dialogue, his seemingly random thoughts about life, and his colorful analogies serve as intuition for what it must be like to live there. (In other words, I view this book as a textbook in how it teaches the reader about the Middle East, but the “teaching” is not through textbook-style language.) I do not know much about the Middle East, and even after reading this book, I still feel that way. But I sure think this book gave me a jump start in forming a baseline set of knowledge that I can draw upon when reading more books about the Middle East (and yes, there will be more!). The book, though old with its 1989 publication date, is still relevant today as the Israeli-Palestinian conflict proceeds without any end in sight. The focus on the Middle East nowadays has probably shifted from Lebanon to countries such as Saudi Arabia and Iran (due to terrorism and oil) and Syria (due to the refugee crisis and Assad) but Israel is still a major player for US diplomacy and foreign policy, and reading this book will be helpful in the process of better understanding the parties involved in the Middle East.
** The World is Flat: A Brief History of the Twenty-First Century ** is a long book by Thomas Friedman. I read the third edition, published in 2007; the first two were published in 2005 and 2006. The metaphor “the world is flat” refers to the forces of globalization that have connected various people and countries together, and which empower the individual, particularly the Internet and how it allows people to have their own voices with blogs. (Contrast this, by the way, with Jaron Lanier’s book above, who argues that the Internet has been a chief cause of de-empowering the individual.) To his credit, Friedman emphasizes that globalization has tradeoffs. A frequent theme is the offshoring of work; companies can improve profits by utilizing cheaper labor in China and India, which benefits American consumers but makes life harder on those former American workers. Globalization has impacts on politics, of course, because it heightens income inequality. Friedman is pro-free trade, but understands that we have to provide the education and opportunity for people to flourish in this world. Right now, he argues America is not doing anywhere near as well as it should be doing — a quiet education crisis. This book is definitely a good history lesson for me, and it completely changed my perspective on how the world works.
The Frugal Superpower: America’s Global Leadership in a Cash-Strapped Era is a short book written in 2010 by Michael Mandelbaum. Its central argument is that in the twentieth century, America effectively served as the world’s government and was able to intervene in other countries because it had the money to do so. But after the 2008 financial crisis, a shift emerged in U.S. policy: no longer can we lavishly spend money and intervene almost at will. Mandelbaum, while recognizing that it is not optimal to have financial crises, hopes that we can be more circumspect (hence, a “frugal” superpower). We will, however, have problems because of entitlement spending, which naturally implies spending less on military action. Demography is also working against us, but the saving grace is that the three areas of contention (Russia, China, and the Middle East) all have their own problems. For example, China has even more of a demographic problem due to their former one-child policy. Mandelbaum concludes that one way we can restore the world order is by taxing gasoline, so (a) we reduce profits of Middle Eastern countries (and indirectly, I might add, radical Islam), (b) provide more money to the federal government for entitlements, and (c) we encourage renewable and cleaner energy, thus helping to combat climate change. This book, with the exception of the suggestion that we tax gasoline, is largely subsumed by Mandelbaum’s later book, Mission Failure.
** That Used to Be Us: How America Fell Behind in the World It Invented and How We Can Come Back **, co-authored by columnist Thomas Friedman and foreign policy professor Michael Mandelbaum, is a book arguing that America is failing to meet the four major challenges of today’s world: globalization, the IT revolution, chronic deficits, and increasing energy consumption. The authors look at America’s history and see many examples of how we have been able to overcome similar challenges. Unfortunately, they worry, “that used to be us.” Today, with our political gridlock, lack of education funding, and competition worldwide from Asia, especially from China (who they almost view as being the most powerful country in the 21st century), it is uncertain whether we will be able to resolve these problems before the market or Mother Nature brutally forces changes down our throats. One of their main solutions? A third-party presidential candidate on the “radical center” who, while not necessarily winning the election, would sufficiently influence the two parties to focus on the “radical center” issues, as H. Ross Perot did in the 1992 election about balancing the deficit. I really liked this book, and I agree with Bill Gates’ assessment that the one word review of this book is: “fascinating.” Not everyone would like this, however: the Wall Street Journal published a negative review, taking a traditionally Conservative stance by criticizing the authors for proposing more government as the solution to fixing America. But then I would like to ask them: what is their proposal to combat climate change?
** Mission Failure: America and the World in the Post-Cold War Era ** is Michael Mandelbaum’s fifteenth and most recent book, published in 2016 and dubbed by Thomas Friedman as “a book that Barack Obama and Donald Trump would both enjoy”. The focus is on the period starting from 1991 — the Cold War’s end — to 2015. In this period, spanning four American presidents (George H.W. Bush through Barack Obama), Mandelbaum argues that we spent this time, intentionally and unintentionally, engaging in “regime change” in other countries. The goal? To convert them to Western-style countries supporting peace, democracies, and free markets. Those three features are the foundations of Mandelbaum’s 2002 book The Ideas that Conquered the World, one of my favorite books and one which I blogged about last year. As examples, the Clinton administration engaged in substantial humanitarian intervention in countries that had little significance to the U.S., such as Haiti, Somalia, Bosnia, and Kosovo. The Bush 43 administration also engaged in nation building in Iraq and Afghanistan, though this was not the original goal as in both cases, it started from war. In addition, for many years we have tried to convert Russia, China, and other middle eastern countries (especially Iran and the Palestines) to be more like ourselves. But these missions all failed. Why? Probably the biggest reason is culture; in many countries, there is already so much sectarian violence that unity based on abstract concepts like the “rule of law” is not possible. In other cases, there is American resentment, as in Russia due to NATO expansion. I found the history behind all this to be fascinating. Of course, I am also concerned. After all, this “era” of American foreign policy abruptly ended by 2015, because Russia and China have now become powerful enough to upset the stability of global order.
Group 4: Religion
Here are some religion-related books. Specifically, these are from the non-religious or atheist perspective, which one might be able to tell given Sam Harris’ frequent appearance here. Don’t worry, I’m going to explore with more pro-religion books next year, and my parents have several book candidates which I can read.
Moral Minority: Our Skeptical Founding Fathers, by Brooke Allen, argues that the six men who she considers to be the founding fathers of America: Benjamin Franklin, George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, John Adams, James Madison, and Alexander Hamilton, were not devout Christians as many claim, but instead highly skeptical men influenced not by religion, but by John Locke and Enlightenment thoughts. By doing so, Allen further claims that due to the efforts of these men, the United States was not founded on Christian principles. (To me, I find it odd that we’re often considered a “Christian nation” when the First Amendment explicitly allows for Freedom of Religion — and don’t get me started on “Judeo-Christian”.) The book has one chapter for each of these men, and uses their actual writing to claim that they were skeptical of religion and preferred to keep it out of politics. I agree with the main ideas of Moral Minority, but rather surprisingly (to me), I didn’t enjoy the book. In part this is due to the writing style; it’s a lot harder to understand 18th-century writing than modern writing. I also think the book discusses a lot of facts but doesn’t clearly unify or connect them together.
** The End of Faith: Religion, Terror, and the Future of Reason ** is Sam Harris’s first book, written in 2004 while he was still a Ph.D. student4 in neuroscience. Its impact was remarkable: it propelled him to fame and played a critical role in forming the New Atheist movement. Harris began writing on September 12, 2001, when the ashes of 9/11 were well present, and the essay he produced in those weeks of collective grief became the basis for this book. This book is similar to Richard Dawkins’ The God Delusion (blogged about here) in many ways, in that it is highly critical of religion, though to be clear: this is about criticism of sticking to any particular dogma, not necessarily religion. In fact, Harris argues near the end of the book (and this is something I did not know from reading Dawkins’ book) that Buddhism as a religion is far more an empirical science than Christianity, Islam, and Judaism. While Dawkins focuses more on the Bible and Koran and argues for evolution instead of creationism and intelligent design, Harris here takes more of a “mind and consciousness” route, which suits his philosophy and neuroscience academic background. One particular aspect about the book is that he is especially critical of Islam, which should not strike readers as surprising, since he argues that religion must be the driving force behind suicide bombing, etc. While I recognize that there are many controversial aspects of Sam Harris and his books, I personally liked this book a lot and view Harris highly. I agree with him that any discussion of religion must begin with the thousands of people who lost their lives on September 11, 2001.
The Moral Landscape: How Science can Determine Human Values, a 2010 book by Sam Harris, argues that people are mistaken about moral values. He urges us to think about improving “well-being” as being equivalent to a peak in a hypothetical, non-convex (to use a term from math) “moral landscape”. This book, while not as anti-religion as his others, dismisses religion as something that causes people to be too rigid to change, and creates friction over “distractions” (social issues such as gay marriage) when we really should be focusing on the threat of terrorism, climate change, and – of course – how to best advance the collective well-being of humans. In my opinion, I was reminded of the Moral Minority book by Brooke Allen – I can find myself agreeing with the general idea, but I felt like the argument is somewhat haphazard and it took me some re-reads of certain paragraphs to get his ideas. Honestly, to me his biggest claims come from arguing that there are other sciences that are vague and have subjective answers (e.g., health and economics) so morality should not be subject to a double standard. Note that he has an interesting discussion of this book on his blog where he challenged readers to refute his thesis.
Waking Up: A Guide to Spirituality Without Religion is a 2014 book, also by Sam Harris, that delves into rather unusual terrain for atheists: spirituality. I read this book for two reasons: one is that I know Sam Harris’ work and admire it very much, and the other is that I have been looking for spirituality or “meditation”-related stuff for a while to help decrease stress. This book, however, is less a “guide on spirituality” that its title suggests, and more about a discussion of the mind, the self, and consciousness. That I find really illuminating, albeit considerably difficult to understand. I felt lost many times in the book and had to reread certain sections, trying to gather every ounce of understanding I could. As an atheist, I acknowledge that there are very real benefits of spirituality and meditation, and that these can be utilized without religion. I want to pursue some of these tactics, but preferably those that don’t involve drugs, as Harris talks about near the end of the book. Ultimately, I was disappointed not because it is a bad book, but because I was expecting to get something different out of it.
Islam and the Future of Tolerance: A Dialogue, yet another book by Sam Harris (co-authored with Maajid Nawaz in 2015) is a conversation between the two men, who come from two vastly different backgrounds. Sam Harris is a well-known atheist, and I frequently read his blog and books (as highly suggested by this blog post!). Nawaz has a remarkable personal story; he was born in England, but became radicalized, but then escaped to become a liberal Muslim activist. Harris and Nawaz have a dialogue about Islam and the prospects of reforming the faith. Nawaz urges us to have plurality, which will lead towards secularism, while Harris argues that we need to start viewing Islam directly as the problem because the accurate reading of scripture indicates that it is among the more evil of religions. I was impressed that two men who no doubt have disagreements can have an honest dialogue, even if the difference isn’t that great (Nawaz doesn’t strike me as a super-religious person). But we need a starting point if we are going to counter radical Islam. I wrote a blog post about it earlier this year in the wake of the Orlando massacre.
Group 5: Science
Needless to say, given my “job” as a computer science graduate student, I have an interest in excellent (popular) science books. Here are four of them. The first three are physics/earth/biology-related with nontrivial overlap in their topics. The last one one is a machine learning book.
What Evolution Is, by famed biologist Ernst Mayr, is a 2001 book about evolution aimed at the educated non-biologist. It is almost like a textbook, but simpler (the book itself is barely 300 pages). Mayr argues that evidence is not merely a theory, but a fact, based on the evidence of evolution from the fossil record. Mayr takes pains to show that this did not come out of a creationist-like reasoning of saying “this is a fact”; rather, the current theory of evolution based on natural selection had several competing theories when biology was in the early stages as a subject. Gradually, as the evidence accumulated, biologists more or less came to a consensus on the current “theory”. This is an extraordinary example of science in action. Ultimately, I don’t quite go as far as Jared Diamond (author of Guns, Germs, and Steel), who says that this book is the “second-greatest thing” that could ever happen, with the first being if Darwin himself (the most famous biologist of all time) came and wrote a book about this. But the book is educational since it’s written like a pseudo-textbook. It’s somewhat dry to read but with enough effort, you can understand the main ideas.
The Sixth Extinction: An Unnatural History, by Elizabeth Kolbert5, is an engaging fast-paced book arguing that we are in the middle of the next mass extinction — the sixth of the earth’s history. (The fifth, of course, was the one that wiped out the dinosaurs, a key topic of Lisa Randall’s book, which I’ll describe next!) The Sixth Extinction consists of a series of short stories documenting Kolbert’s adventures across the world, where she meets lots of people and explores the outdoors. Some conditions are dangerous, and others are more amusing, as when she recounts seeing frogs having sex. But where there is humor is also sadness, because the story of extinction is not pleasant. Kolbert describes how biologists have failed to find once-abundant frogs, how zoologists have had to deal with the reality of trying to force the two remaining fertile members of a species to create offspring, and how the effects of ocean acidification and human-accelerated climate change will accelerate extinction. This book, however, is not about global warming, as that subject plays only a minor role here. Even discounting global warming, there is irrefutable evidence that humans have directly caused the extinction of other species, whether it is through construction projects, deforestation, transporting pests across the world, and other actions. After reading this book, I continue to remain concerned about the future of the world and the fate of our species.
** Dark Matter and the Dinosaurs: The Astounding Interconnectedness of the Universe **, by famed cosmologist and physicist Lisa Randall, is an exciting book weaving together astronomy, particle physics, earth science, and biology, to answer a profoundly interesting question: what caused the dinosaurs to die? No, I don’t mean about the meteor that hit earth. We know all that, and Randall briefly describes the interesting history of how scientists arrived at that conclusion. Randall’s book is instead about what caused the meteor to hit the earth. That’s a much more challenging question, and for someone like me without formal astronomy education, I have no idea how people can answer that kind of question considering the immense complexity and size of the universe. Fortunately, Randall explains the astronomy and particle physics basics for understanding some of this material. She proposes the new, very preliminary hypothesis that a disc of dark matter caused the meteor to hit the earth. The dark disc in the solar system causes the sun and planets to move up and down in unison periodically, and due to certain gravitational influences, when passing the center of the disc, causes one of the meteors (perhaps in the Oort cloud, something cool I learned) to dislodge from its orbit and sends it to earth. After reading Dark Matter and the Dinosaurs, I can no longer view the universe the same way. It is an exciting world we live in, and though I will not be part of the physics/cosmology research that explores Randall’s hypothesis, I eagerly await what they find and hope that Randall will write another book in five years describing her research progress.
** The Master Algorithm: How the Quest for the Ultimate Learning Machine will Remake Our World ** by Pedro Domingos is one of the few popular science books on machine learning, so naturally, I had to read it. It describes the history of machine learning as five tribes: symbolists, connectionists, analogists, Bayesians, and evolutionaries. This is what I wanted to know, so I’m happy he included this in his book. Near the end of the book, I felt like Domingos went a bit overboard with storytelling, but it’s probably better than the alternative of having more math. Certainly I would prefer more math, but most readers probably don’t want that, and we need ways to teach machine learning to a broad audience without much math. I have covered my thoughts on this book more extensively in this blog post. It’s an interesting book, to say the least, and I wish there were more books about this general area.
Group 6: NSA and CIA
I maintain an interest in the NSA and the CIA. I chose three related books to read and I liked all of them. This is despite how two books ostensibly appear to be on the opposite side of a contentious political issue (NSA collection of bulk metadata). The third is an espionage thriller … which happens to be true.
** No Place to Hide: Edward Snowden, the NSA, and the U.S. Surveillance State **, is a 2014 book by journalist Glenn Greenwald. He was one of the people who Edward Snowden first contacted about the release of classified NSA phone metadata collection documents. The first part of the book is quite riveting, since it describes how Snowden first attempted to contact Greenwald (via PGP email, but that never happened) and how Greenwald decided to go to Hong Kong to meet Snowden. Greenwald next takes Snowden’s side regarding the NSA’s actions and argues that Snowden is right about what the NSA does (as in, Snowden’s famous “I, sitting at my desk, could wiretap you […] if I had a personal email” phrase). Greenwald displays a number of leaked documents to support his arguments. Next, Greenwald argues that government spying is bad. Privacy is a fundamental human right, and government spying encourages conformity and suppresses valid dissent. One passage that particularly struck me was when Greenwald said that the alternative to mass surveillance is not no surveillance, but targeted surveillance. This is a lesson that might be useful to many policymakers today.
** Playing to the Edge: American Intelligence in the Age of Terror **, a 2016 book by Michael V. Hayden, the only person to be the director of both the National Security Agency and CIA. It is meant to be “an unapologetic insider’s perspective” on the organizations in a time of terror, but also a time of criticism from the general public, who do not understand the intricacies of what these agencies do and what they are legally bound to do. Mr. Hayden frequently mentions that the NSA and CIA are unfairly asked to do more when the public feels unsafe, but then they’re asked to do less when the public feels safe. Mr. Hayden discussed his time talking to Congress, the POTUS (usually Bush 43, but he was also Obama’s CIA chief for three weeks), and other politicians, in an attempt to keep them as informed as possible, but that nonetheless did not seem to satisfy many Libertarians and others who oppose aspects of the work of the NSA and CIA. I found this book fascinating mostly for the insider’s perspective on what it’s like to manage such critical government organizations, and the careful considerations of these organizations when pursuing sensitive strategies (e.g., the metadata collection). I wish that there were other secrets he could have discussed, but I understand if this is not possible. One possible weakness is that it’s more of a biography/memoir with loosely related chapters, and doesn’t do enough (in my opinion, if it was the goal) to directly counter people like Glenn Greenwald6 and others who oppose NSA bulk collection of phone records.
** The Billion-Dollar Spy: A True Story of Cold War Espionage and Betrayal ** is a 2015 book written by David Hoffman. The book’s summary in its cover flaps describes it as “a brilliant feat of reporting which unfolds like an espionage thriller”, and I think this is a valid description. I thoroughly enjoyed the book’s details on Cold War espionage activities performed by the US and the Soviet Union (and this is something getting more attention nowadays due to Obama’s much-needed sanctions on Russia). It emphasizes how U.S. spies had to carefully communicate with Soviet engineer-turned-spy Adolf Tolkachev deep into the heart of Moscow … and several blocks away from the feared KGB. Fortunately, they were able to do that for several years, continually communicating with Tolkachev who handed over tens of thousands of secret documents. The air force said the material was worth “roughly in the billions of dollars range”. Wow. But then, in 1985, the operation ended due to a shocking betrayal. There are several downsides to this book. The first is that the “betrayal” is obvious once the appropriate character is introduced, and the second is that it includes some nice pictures of the characters and setting, but the pictures should be at the end of the book (not the middle!) because it gives away the ending. The first is a limitation of the story, though, and the alternative would have been to expand the book to be longer and introduce more characters early. I still greatly enjoyed this book, a riveting and poignant tale of Tolkachev.
Group 7: Biographies and Memoirs
Here are some biographies and/or memoirs, with quite different themes. Actually, Michael Hayden’s book (from the previous group) would also qualify as a memoir.
What I Talk About When I Talk About Running is the first book by Haruki Murakami that I’ve read. Murakami is mostly known as a prominent fiction writer, both in Japan and abroad, but I decided to read this book since I was in the middle of a personal “Running Renaissance” (e.g., see this blog post about running in the Berkeley Marina) and wanted to see his take. This book is a short memoir about the notes (most from 2005/2006) Murakami compiled while training for the New York marathon. Along the way, we learn that Murakami ran a bar (in Japan) until his thirties, but then started writing and struck gold there. He then started running to help him physically manage the strain of writing novels. Regarding his running, Murakami describes his experience training and running in marathons once a year. He’s even run an ultramarathon in Lake Saroma, which is 62 miles long. This book is probably an accurate survey of what Murakami thinks, though I think it suffers a lot from cliches: hard work can beat talent!, most people need to work hard!, and so forth. It’s a short book so even if one doesn’t like the concepts, reading it from start to finish does not take much time.
Between the World and Me by Ta-Nehisi Coates, an author (and MacArthur Fellow) who I was previously aware of due to his 2014 The Case for Reparations article. This book won the 2015 National Book Award, so I was looking forward to reading it. The best way to describe this book is as a cross between a long letter and a poem, and Coates addresses it to his son. He argues that, as blacks, they will have to be extra careful about their bodies. He says that there is a lot of concern in a world where we’ve recently seen a lot of police officers shooting black men and boys. (And, tragically, the manuscript for this book must have finished before the Charleston shootings, which certainly would have made it in otherwise.) One term he uses a lot is “The Dream”, but paradoxically, it doesn’t actually seem to refer to a dream for blacks (as in, Martin Luther King Jr.’s kind of dream) but that of whites who are attempting to define themselves. In terms of my opinion, it’s true that this book helps me to understand the perspective of being black, and obviously made me appreciate not being black7. I think Coates could have focused more on the shooting cases where the officers were clearly guilty or had video evidence suggesting that, because in some cases it is justified for police officers to retaliate. Whether they did or not in those well-known cases, is not my place to answer, and could be a source of fair criticism for this book. As for the title, I think it was designed to represent how there is a “real” world, one for whites, and “his world” of blacks.
Sisters in Law: How Sandra Day O’Connor and Ruth Bader Ginsburg Went to the Supreme Court and Changed the World is a 2015 dual biography by lawyer Linda Hirshman. She describes an overview of the Justices’ lives, starting from childhood, then to their difficulty establishing legal careers, and of course, to their time as Supreme Court justices. The book is educational for those who want to know about the politics and intricacies of the Supreme Court. I certainly count as one of those, so this book was a nice match for me: it was just technical and sophisticated enough that I could follow it (along with some Wikipedia checks to, for instance, understand what it really means to clerk for a judge or to be on the United States Court of Appeals). I also learned a lot about how the court works, about how justices have to strategically frame their arguments to get a majority, and why it matters who writes the opinions. The book talks about Ginsburg’s rise, then O’Connor’s rise, then about them together later. Towards the end of the book, Hirshman starts intervening with her personal opinions, as well as her attacks on Justice Anthony Kennedy. Hirshman doesn’t shy about inserting her liberal beliefs so this may discomfort diehard conservatives (but not moderate conservatives, ironically those like O’Connor), and I wonder if she would have done something differently had she waited until Kennedy wrote the majority opinion which legalized same sex marriage. I enjoyed knowing more of the relationships between the Supreme Court justices and how they work, and would like to see more of that if the book were to be extended. Also see the book’s review on the “nonpartisan” SCOTUS blog, which I mostly agree with.
Group 8: Miscellaneous
These are some miscellaneous books, which don’t seem to fit in the above groups. I’ve arranged them by publication date.
The Swerve: How the World Became Modern is a 2011 book by Harvard professor Stephen Greenblatt that won the 2011 National Book Award and the 2012 Pulitzer Prize (geez …). It’s the story of how Poggio Bracciolini, an Italian scholar and book-hunter in the 14th and 15th century, was able to track down Lucretius’ On the Nature of Things, a dramatic, profound essay that had been lost for well over a thousand years, and (incredibly) describes things that we take for granted today, especially the atomic nature of the world. The book chronicles Poggio’s journey to get the book and navigates through his life as a papal secretary and, clearly, the trip that led him to reach the long-lost manuscript. Note that this book is technically non-fiction, but given that this all happened in the 1400s, I think some of its content is bound to be the result of artistic license. Greenblatt argues that this essay “revolutionized our understanding of the world we live in today.” I thought this book was interesting, though I probably wouldn’t be on record as saying it was as great as other books I’ve read, such as Guns, Germs, & Steel. One thing that might not suit certain readers is the anti-religious stance of On the Nature of Things, which argues that there is no afterlife, so it subscribes to the Epicurean philosophy that life should be fulfilled for enjoyment first. For instance, see Jim Hinch’s criticism of the book.
David and Goliath: Underdogs, Misfits, and the Art of Battling Giants is another book (from 2013) by the famous author Malcolm Gladwell, who I regard as one of the finest authors for explaining how the world works. I thoroughly enjoyed reading The Tipping Point, Blink, and Outliers in high school. This book is about taking a new perspective of underdogs versus the favorites. Why are we surprised when the underdogs win? What if we should expect underdogs to win? Gladwell discusses how people with disabilities or traumatic experiences, while generally worse off than others, have a chance of overcoming and being stronger than ever. For instance, he cites David Boies, a dyslexic lawyer who countered his disability with the ability to listen far better, and he is one of the top tax lawyers in the country. He also raises the interesting point as to whether it is better to be a big fish in a small pond or a little fish in a large pond. The first two parts are my favorite; the third part is a bit drier and mostly discusses how people who are in power have to consider carefully what happens to those under them (e.g., police officers versus civilians, the United States versus (North) Vietnam, etc.). Overall, the book, especially the first two parts to me, is thought-provoking and I agree with a lot of what Gladwell says. I do, however, have to emphasize a criticism of the book that I’ve seen declared elsewhere: when students who are at schools of vastly different prestige study the “same” subject, they are not studying the same concepts, looking at the same notes, etc. I can say this with confidence after studying the material from the artificial intelligence and machine learning courses at Williams and at Berkeley8. The Williams courses are noticeably easier and cover less material than the Berkeley counterparts. And Williams is a very strong school in its own right! The gap is therefore wider for other pairs of schools.
Kill Anything That Moves: The Real American War in Vietnam by Nicholas Turse in 2013, is a history book that attempts to account for much of the atrocities committed by US soldiers in Vietnam. Most Americans, myself included (in 9th grade), were taught that the well-known My Lai massacre was just an anomaly, one mistake in an otherwise “appropriate” war. Turse refutes this by discussing how American troops were trained to hate Vietnamese (including South Vietnamese, ostensibly their allies) and how they committed crimes such as torture, rape, and murders (to gain body counts) etc. This was not the act of several low-level military folks, but people higher up in the commands. Turse goes over Operation Speedy Express, which he calls “a My Lai a month” but which has not gotten as much attention because of efforts by the US military to cover up the details. Yes, this book is frustrating to read, and it is not designed to be enjoyable. I don’t know how one could be happy when reading about what our military did. I knew already that the Vietnam War was a mistake just like the Iraq war, and though there are reviews of Turse’s book that argue that it doesn’t explain the whole truth, they can’t refute that American soldiers killed many innocent Vietnamese civilians. I have no doubt that if Vietnam had more military might, population, and power, it never would have restored diplomatic relations with the United States. Let’s not kid ourselves: the reason why we’re now “allied” with them today is because of our power imbalance (we’re “number one”) and because we “need them” to counter China.
Zero to One: Notes on Startups, or How to Build the Future is a 2014 book by Peter Thiel that consists of notes from a class on startups that Thiel taught at Stanford. How do startups become successful, and what kind of people, attitude, and circumstances are necessary for them to flourish and ultimately change the world? He laments the fact that America is in a phase of “indefinite optimism” instead of the “definite optimism” of the 60s, when we landed a man on the moon9. Nowadays, people who want money but who don’t know how to create it become lawyers and investment bankers, a problem which Thiel says is exacerbated by today’s world which encourages us to focus on incrementally improving a variety of skills and focusing on getting top grades and so forth (though Thiel was like this in his early life!). The entrepreneurs are the ones who can generate wealth, and in order for them to succeed, they have to go “from zero to one”. That means being like Google, which had no comparable peer in terms of searching. While other search engines are going from 1 to n and recreating what we know, it’s very difficult to go from 0 to 1. This book is not a guide on doing that; such a guide cannot exist. It’s just a set of notes, but it’s an educational set of notes. I mostly enjoyed the notes, but almost all of it relates to technology startups. As Thiel mentions, you can’t really apply startup analysis to the restaurant industry, so this book caters to a specific group of people, and may possibly frustrate those outside the field.
Six Amendments: How and Why We Should Change the Constitution by retired Supreme Court Justice John Paul Stevens, is a 2014 book where Stevens concisely describes six different ways the US Constitution needs to be amended. The reason for amendment is that, as he says: “rules crafted by a slim majority of the members of the Supreme Court have had such a profound and unfortunate impact on our basic law that resort to the process of amendment is warranted.” (The use of amendment has declined in recent years, as the last one was the 27th Amendment in 1992.) Prominent examples Stevens cites are political gerrymandering, the death penalty, and gun control. Some of the book is written in near-legalese language, but fortunately I was able to follow most of the arguments. I can definitely see why he now wants to abolish the death penalty (by simply adding “such as the death penalty” to the 8th Amendment). Granted, diehard Conservatives obviously won’t like this book, but Stevens simply aims to state what he thinks must be revised for the Constitution, and I agree in many respects.
The Road to Character by David Brooks the “conservative” commentator10 who writes opinion columns for the New York Times. Brooks describes the metaphor of each people having two different versions of themselves, “Adam I” and “Adam II”. The former is the one we emphasize today, which focuses on self-accomplishments, achieving power and fame. But he argues that we have lost focus on “Adam II”, our moral character, who represents the kind of qualities that are discussed in our eulogies. These, Brooks argues, are what we want in our legacies. (Brooks concedes, though, that the focus on Adam I has helped many people, most notably women from breaking out of subservient roles.) Brooks goes through almost ten mini-biographies of people including Frances Perkins, Dorothy Day, and Dwight Eisenhower, and describes how these people built moral character and focused on Adam II instead of Adam I. Then at the end of the book, Brooks summarizes the lessons learned for building character. As for my opinion, I do not disagree with Brooks’ assessment of today’s world; yes, in the civilized world, there are so many forces that encourage us to focus on Adam I instead of Adam II. I found Brooks’ thoughts on this and his conclusions to be interesting and valid. I probably did not enjoy the mini-biographies of people that much. This is probably because Brooks deliberately writes in an excessively sophisticated manner.
Who Rules the World? is the latest book by Noam Chomsky, possibly the most cited academic in the history of the world. (His Google Scholar account shows a ridiculous 306,000 citations as of May 2016!). Chomsky is provocative in his writing here, though I suppose I should not have been surprised after reading his Wikipedia page. His main argument is that the West (read: the United States) thinks they rule the world and can run it the way they want. America is therefore the arrogant bully who wants things run his way and manipulates the media in doing so. As a side effect, America actually hinders progress towards some of its goals. Take the “Iranian nuclear threat” for instance. America and the West (myself included) view Iran as one of the gravest threats to the world, but this is not the case in the Arab world or elsewhere. The Iranian threat could have been resolved many years ago, Chomsky argued, if we had not invaded Iraq or invited Iranians to study nuclear engineering at his institution (MIT). Also consider the ongoing Israel-Palestine conflict. The US argues that the PLO does not concede anything in negotiations (in fact, Mandelbaum argues just this in Mission Failure, described earlier) but Chomsky argues that it is Israel and the US who are blocking progress. Of course, there is also the threat of climate change in addition to nuclear warfare, the two main things that worry Chomsky. And, of course, climate change progress is stalling due to the US (more accurately, Republicans, who Chomsky accuses of no longer being a political party). Throughout the book, Chomsky criticizes Republicans and also criticizes Democrats for veering to the right. I can definitely see why some people will take issue with Chomsky’s ideas, but this book helped me to take a more critical view of how I understand US domestic and foreign policy.
Whew! That’s the long list of summaries of the books I read in 2016. I will now get started on next year’s books, once I can find the time …
They were “thriller” type books, but the themes and plots were shallow. If you want to read an excellent thriller book, I think Battle Royale reigns supreme. Don’t get me started about The Hunger Games — it’s almost a complete rip-off of the decade-older Battle Royale. ↩
I’m currently reading his book, but alas, as much as I would have liked to finish it before 2017, the book is dense and over 700 pages, and I will not finish in time. ↩
Like me, he’s probably been reading too much of The Wall Street Journal. ↩
It looks like I better get around to writing a book. “Fortunately” it appears that I will be a PhD student for a long time. ↩
Interestingly enough, she was a visiting professor at Williams College for 2015-2016 (she might still be at Williams, I’m not sure). ↩
Well, OK he did mention Glenn Greenwald a few times. I remember Hayden describing him as “pretty much anti-everything”. ↩
I have a pet peeve about race, however: why can’t we call mixed race people by the proper terminology: mixed race? Or, possibly better, we can clearly list the most accurate approximation of race we have. For me, when describing my race, people should state: 50 percent White, 50 percent Asian. For Barack Obama, people should state: 50 percent White, 50 percent Black. And so on. These aren’t true percentages, of course, since all humans originate from the same ancestor, but they’re as close as we can get. Sometimes I wonder if mixed race people exist when I read countless statistics saying “X-Y percent white-black” with X+Y=100 and seemingly no room for others. ↩
Currently, at Williams, Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning are numbered CS 373 and CS 374, respectively, while the Berkeley counterparts are CS 188 and CS 189. ↩
Now that I think about it, this may have been a reason why Thiel supported Donald Trump’s campaign, going so far as to talk at the Republican National Convention. This book was written before Donald Trump’s campaign, though. Thiel, as a Libertarian, was supporting Rand Paul beforehand. ↩
I do not think David Brooks is really that conservative. Perhaps he enjoys being called “liberals’ favorite conservative.” ↩
In addition to taking STAT 210A this semester, I took CS 294-115, Algorithmic Human-Robot Interaction, taught by Professor Anca Dragan. I will first provide a summary of what we did in class, roughly in chronological order. Then I would like to discuss what could be improved for future iterations.
The first day presented, as usual, the enrollment surge, which is either a good thing or a bad thing. But for being able to find a chair in the classroom, it’s a bad thing. I arrived a few minutes before class started (which is actually late for the first day) and found a packed room, but fortunately my two sign language interpreters had booked a seat for me.
I felt bad for that. If I’m the last to arrive and all the chairs are taken, I have no problem sitting on the floor or standing up. It’s OK. Fortunately, the number of students eventually dropped to 34 by the end of the course, but for the first few weeks, we had a lot of students sitting on the floor or standing by the door. The two sign language interpreters took up two seats, so I worried that I was inconveniencing the other students. Fortunately, no one seemed to be angry, and Professor Dragan seemed to be OK with it. In fact, at the start of the semester, she sent me an email asking how the course was going, if she was talking too fast, etc. I remember two other professors contacting me that way: Sarah Jacobson for Microeconomics and Wendy Wang for Bayesian Statistics, and I like it when professors do that. I responded saying that she was doing just fine and that any limitation in my ability to understand material was mostly out of her control.
In CS 294-115, much of the first half of the semester consisted of lectures on standard robotics topics, particularly motion planning and trajectory optimization. This is also an HCI course, and we had lectures on experimental design and learning from demonstrations (which are often human-led). The most concise way to describe this class is probably a cross between CS 287, Advanced Robotics, and CS 260, the Human-Computer Interaction course at Berkeley. I think a lot of computer science PhD students took CS 294-115 to satisfy their PhD breadth requirements. I would, of course, take it even if it didn’t satisfy my requirements.
As I quickly learned, one of the most controversial aspects of CS 294-115 are the quizzes. Every few classes, Professor Dragan would set the first 5-10 minutes aside for a quiz, which typically asked basic questions about topics covered in the previous lectures. Each quiz was graded on a three-point scale: minus, check, and plus. I earned one plus and three checks on the four “normal” quizzes we had.
For one of the quizzes, the class as a whole did poorly (a third minus, a third check, and a third plus). Probably the reason for this is that the question was about the reading for the class, specifically, the Maximum-Entropy Inverse Reinforcement Learning paper. Before the quiz, Professor Dragan smiled and said something similar to: “if you didn’t do the reading, try to say anything relevant.” Gee, it looks like the do-your-readings rule doesn’t even apply to Berkeley graduate courses!
We had a make-up quiz, but I still only earned a check. Ugh.
Regardless of whether this class turns into a seminar or a lecture (which I’ll discuss later in this article) I personally think the quizzes should be abolished. Professor Dragan also commented in class that some students thought quizzes did not belong in a class like this. We’re “not in high school,” as some succinctly put it.
As one can tell from reading the syllabus online, aside from the lectures, we also had a lot of classes devoted to student presentations about research papers. For each paper, we had a PRO and a CON presenter. Their names are self-explanatory: the PRO presenter talks about the paper as if he/she had written it, while the CON presenter provides constructive criticism. I liked this part of the class, though there are some inherent weaknesses, such as scalability.
I had to wait a while; it wasn’t until November 15 that I got to present. I was assigned to be the CON presenter for a very interesting (and award-winning!) paper Asking for Help Using Inverse Semantics.
In every talk, I always need to think of several jokes to say. The logic is as follows: I am at the bottom of the social hierarchy when it comes to anything related to popularity. Thus, when I’m giving a talk to a class or some audience, this is one of the few times where people are actually going to bother to listen to what I have to say. In other words, I really can’t afford to waste my chance to give a positive impression. One way to make a good impression is to give a talk about something really positive, such as if I came up with a really new algorithm that people will love. Unfortunately, aside from the really top-tier stuff, I think it’s hard to distinguish oneself with the content of the talk (especially if it’s not about work I did!) so the next best thing that really helps is being reasonably funny.
Thus, I came up with the following tentative plan: since it’s election season, let’s have “Anca for President”! I would include an image like the following in my slides, where going from left to right correlates with how much respect I have for that person.
Again, this is a rough draft of what a figure might look like, and I’m not saying this would have been finalized. I might have shifted a few of these faces around, or added/removed a few. There are indeed a lot of leaders who I think are worse than Putin, after all …
I think if I showed this in class, it would elicit considerable laughter and raise talks of “Anca for President!” even though she’s not Constitutionally eligible. Unfortunately, the paper I presented didn’t really make this joke fit in the talk well. Combined with the fact that the candidate who everyone opposed won the election … never mind.
Instead, I made a joke about how humans differ in their “level of altruism.” In CS 294-129, for which I was the GSI, a student asked a question on Piazza about how to use Jupyter Notebook. It was a really stupid and shallow question, but I couldn’t resist answering it to the best of my ability. But then Professor Canny responded with a far stricter (but also far more helpful!) answer, along the lines of “no one can help you with that much information […] saying this is a waste of time […]”. It was pretty clear that Professor Canny and I have drastically different styles, and I tried to put that in a humorous perspective. I think it worked well, but the text was admittedly too small to see well, and Professor Dragan docked me for it during her email to me immediately after the talk.
Unfortunately I was scheduled as the fourth presenter that day, which is easily the worst slot to be in for this class. As luck would have it, the other three presenters went over their time (I sarcastically thought: “big surprise”), meaning that I got to be the first presenter during the following class.
The class after my actual presentation was the one before Thanksgiving, and it was a special one where Professor Dragan ran an experiment. Rather than have the usual PRO/CON presenters, we would instead split into small groups for discussion. You can imagine how much I “liked” that. To the surprise of no one, my sign language interpreters could not understand or follow the discussion well, and neither could I. But maybe I’m just a lonely Luddite. It seemed like the other students enjoyed that class.
After the Thanksgiving “break”, we had class presentations during the final week. I’m not sure if there’s something about the aura in our class, but there’s so much more humor compared to the Deep Neural Networks presentations from CS 294-129. Seemingly everyone had a joke or did something that caused laughter. Here are a few that I remember:
- Explicitly saying a joke. These are the best kind and the ones I try to do every time, for reasons described earlier.
- Showing a funny video.
- Performing a funny gesture.
- Complaining about the 4-minute time limit and watching as Professor Dragan sneaked closer and closer to the presenter to cut off the talk.
- Having multiple phones time the talks (Professor Dragan’s and the presenter’s) and having them both ring after 4 minutes.
- Grabbing Professor Dragan’s laptop after the talk was over, thinking it was theirs.
The laughter was contagious and this is definitely something positive about the class. My project presentation, incidentally, was about human gameplay to boost Atari game play agents. I have some code that I’ll hopefully release soon.
After the project presentations, we had to work on our final reports (5 page maximum). Here’s a tip for those who need more space, which should be everybody: use IEEE Conference-Style papers. The font size is small, and when you expand the LaTeX coding to reach the maximum margins, you get a lot of information packed into five pages.
All right, that was the class, but now what about some feedback? Professor Dragan said she plans to teach this class again under the new “CS 287H” label. What could be better for future semesters? In my opinion, the most important question to ask is whether the class should be structured as a seminar or a lecture. Doing it half-seminar, half-lecture as we had is really awkward.
I am inclined towards turning CS 294-115 into a standard lecture course, given my problematic history with seminars. Yes, I know I’ve complained a lot about not being able to follow technical lectures, but seminars are still, on average, worse.
The decision is obviously up to Professor Dragan. If she wants to keep it as a seminar, I would highly encourage:
- establishing a strict enrollment limit with no more than 30 students and requiring prospective students to fill out a detailed form describing how they can contribute to the class. There are several classes which do this already so it’s not unusual. The enrollment limit is necessary because far more students will sign up next year. Why? It’s simple: robotics is very popular and Professor Dragan is very popular.
- enforcing time limits better. There were many times when students, for both PRO/CON presentations and final project presentations, exceeded their allotted time.
If CS 294-115 turns into a normal lecture, then:
- introduce problem sets and a midterm to test knowledge instead of relying on shallow quizzes. This will require GSIs, but by now there are plenty of students who can do that job. This will mean more work for the students, but CS 294-115 probably needs more work anyway. It’s listed as 3 credits, but I think it’s more accurate to call it a 2.5-credit class.
Regardless of the class style, I have an idea if quizzes have to remain in CS 294-115. To fix the problem of students not reading papers beforehand, let’s have quizzes for all the paper readings. In fact, the student presenters can create them! They can do the grading and then forward the results to Professor Dragan to minimize her workload.
Don’t misunderstand what I’m saying. Throughout the class, I looked at all the papers, but I mostly read only the abstract plus the first few introductory sections. I wanted to read these papers in detail, but there’s a tradeoff. If I can spend four hours the night before class working towards important research, I’m going to prefer doing that over reading a paper without hesitation.
My final suggestion for the class is about the project presentation sign-up process. We had a class spreadsheet and had to sign up for one of the two days. Instead, let’s randomly assign students to presentation times and make slides due on the same night for everyone.
Well, that’s all I want to say about CS 294-115 now. This is just one person’s opinion and others will no doubt have their own thoughts about the class. I’ll check the future course websites now and then to see if there are any interesting changes from the version I just took.
Professor Dragan, thanks for a fun class!
All of the core courses require a large commitment of time, particularly with the homework. Taking more than two of them per semester (eight units) is a Herculean task.
210A contains essential material for the understanding of statistics. 210B contains more specialized material. The 210 courses are less mathematically rigorous than the 205 courses. 210A is easier than 205A; 210B is very difficult conceptually, though in practice it’s easy to perform adequately. Homework is time-consuming.
210A: The frequentist approach to statistics with comparison to Bayesian and decision theory alternatives, estimation, model assessment, testing, confidence regions, some asymptotic theory.
And on our course website we get the following description:
Stat 210A is Berkeley’s introductory Ph.D.-level course on theoretical statistics. It is a fast-paced and demanding course intended to prepare students for research careers in statistics.
Both of these descriptions are highly accurate. I saw these before the semester, so I was already prepared to spend many hours on this course. Now that it’s over, I think I spent about 20 hours a week on it. I thought this was a lot of time, but judging from the SGSA, maybe even the statistics PhD students have to dedicate lots of time to this course?
Our instructor was Professor William Fithian, who is currently in his second year as a statistics faculty member. This course is the first of two theoretical statistics courses offered each year aimed at statistics PhD students. However, I am not even sure if statistics PhD students were in the majority for our class. At the start of the semester, Professor Fithian asked us which fields we were studying, and a lot of people raised their hands when he asked “EECS”. Other departments represented in 210A included mathematics and engineering fields. Professor Fithian also asked if there was anyone studying the humanities or social sciences, but it looks like there were no such students. I wouldn’t expect any; I don’t know why 210A would be remotely useful for them. Maybe I can see a case for a statistically-minded political science student, but it seems like 215A and 215B would be far superior choices.
The number of students wasn’t too large, at least compared to the crowd-fest that’s drowning the EECS department. Right now I see 41 students listed on the bCourses website, and this is generally accurate since the students who drop classes usually drop bCourses as well.
It’s important to realize that even though some descriptions of this course say “introduction” (e.g., see Professor Fithian’s comments above), any student who majored in statistics for undergrad, or who studied various related concepts (computer science and mathematics, for instance) will have encountered the material in 210A before at some level. In my opinion, a succinct description of this course’s purpose is probably: “provide a broad review of statistical concepts but with lots of mathematical rigor, while filling in any minor gaps.”
I am not a statistics PhD student nor did I major in statistics during undergrad, which at the time I was there didn’t even offer a statistics major. I took only three statistics courses in college: an introductory to stats course (the easy kind, where we plug in numbers and compute standard deviations), a statistical modeling course (a much easier version than STAT 215A at Berkeley), and an upper-level Bayesian Statistics course taught by Wendy Wang. That third course was enormously helpful, and I’m really starting to appreciate taking that class. The fourth undergrad course that was extremely beneficial was Steven Miller’s Math 341 class (probability), which is also now cross-listed into statistics. I should thank my old professors …
Despite not majoring in statistics, I still knew a lot of concepts that were introduced in this class, such as:
- Sufficient Statistics
- Exponential Families
- Maximum Likelihood
- Neyman’s Factorization Theorem
- Jensen’s Inequality and KL Divergences
- The Central Limit Theorem
But I didn’t know a lot:
- Rao-Blackwell Theorem
- GLRT, Wald, Score, Max tests
- Convergence in probability vs distribution
- The Delta Method
- A lot about hypothesis testing, UMP tests, UMPU tests, etc.
Even for the concepts I already knew, we went into far more detail in this class (e.g. with sufficient statistics) and described the math foundations, so I definitely got a taste as to what concepts appear in statistics research. A good example is the preprint about reranking in exponential families written by the professor and his graduate student Kenneth Hung, who was also the lone TA for the course. Having taken this course, it’s actually possible for me to read the paper and remotely understand what they’re doing.
The syllabus for 210A roughly proceeded in the order of Robert Keener’s textbook, a book which by itself requires significant mathematical maturity to understand. We covered probably more than half of the book. Towards the end of the semester, we discussed more hypothesis testing, which judging from Professor Fithian’s publications (e.g., the one I just described here) seems to be his research area so that’s naturally what he’d gravitate to.
We did not discuss measure theory in this class. I think the only measure theory courses we have at Berkeley are STAT 205A and 205B? I surprisingly couldn’t find any others by searching the math course catalog (is there really no other course on measure theory here???). But even Professor Aldous’ 205A website says:
Sketch of pure measure theory (not responsible for proofs)
Well, then, how do statistics PhD students learn measure theory if they’re “not responsible for proofs”? I assume they self-study? Or is measure theory needed at all? Keener says it is needed to properly state the results, but it has the unfortunate side effect of hindering understanding. And Andrew Gelman, a prominent statistician, says he never (properly) learned it.
As should be obvious, I do not have measure theory background. I know that if then the event that for any constant has measure 0, but that’s about it. In some sense this is really frustrating. I have done a lot of differentiating and integrating, but before taking this class, I had no idea there were differences between Lebesuge and Riemannian integration. (I took real analysis and complex analysis in undergrad, but I can’t remember talking about Lebesuge integration.)
Even in a graduate-level class like this one, we made lots of simplifying assumptions. This was the header text that appeared at the top of our problem sets:
For this assignment (and generally in this class) you may disregard measure-theoretic niceties about conditioning on measure-zero sets. Of course, you can feel free to write up the problem rigorously if you want, and I am happy to field questions or chat about how we could make the treatment fully rigorous (Piazza is a great forum for that kind of question as long as you can pose it without spoilers!)
Well, I shouldn’t say I was disappointed, since I was more relieved if anything. If I had to formalize everything with measure theory, I think I would get bogged down with trying to understand measure this, measure that, the integral is with respect to X measure, etc.
Even with the “measure-theoretically naive” simplification, I had to spend lots of time working on the problem sets. In general, I could usually get about 50-80 percent of a problem set done by myself, but for the remainder of it, I needed to consult with other students, the GSI, or the professor. Since problem sets were usually released Thursday afternoons and due the following Thursday, I made sure to set aside either Saturday or Sunday as a day where I worked solely on the problem set, which allowed me to get huge chunks of it done and LaTeX-ed up right away.
The bad news is that it wasn’t easy to find student collaborators. I had collaborators for some (but not all of) the problem sets, and we stopped meeting later in the semester. Man, I wish I were more popular. I also attended a few office hours, and it could sometimes be hard to understand the professor or the GSI if there were a lot of other students there. The GSI office hours were a major problem, since another class had office hours in the same room. Think of overlapping voices from two different subjects. Yeah, it’s not the best setting for the acoustics and I could not understand or follow what people were discussing apart from scraps of information I could get from the chalkboard. The good news is that the GSI, apart from obviously knowing the material very well, was generous with partial credit and created solutions to all the problem sets, which were really helpful to me when I prepared for the three-hour final exam.
The day of the final was pretty hectic for me. I had to gave a talk at SIMPAR 2016 in San Francisco that morning, then almost immediately board BART to get back to Berkeley by 1:00PM to take the exam. (The exam was originally scheduled at 8:00AM1 (!!) but Professor Fithian kindly allowed me to take it at 1:00PM.) I did not have any time to change clothes, so for the first time in my life, I took an exam wearing business attire.
Business attire or not, the exam was tough. Professor Fithian made it four broad questions, each with multiple parts in it. I tried doing all four, and probably did half of all four correct, roughly. We were allowed a one-sided, one-page cheat sheet, and I crammed mine in with A LOT of information, but I almost never used it during the exam. This is typical, by the way. Most of the time, simply creating the cheat sheet actually serves as my studying. As I was also preoccupied with research, I only spent a day and a half studying for the final.
After I had turned in the exam, Professor Fithian mentioned that he thought it was a “hard exam”. This made me feel better, and it also made me wonder, how well do professors generally do on their own exams? Well, assuming the exam was the same difficulty and that they didn’t directly know the questions in advance.
It was definitely a relief to finish the final exam, and I rewarded myself with some Cheeseboard Pizza (first pizza in ages!) along with a beautiful 5.8-mile run the following morning.
Now that I can sit back and reflect on the course, STAT 210A was enormously time-consuming but I learned a lot from it. I’m not sure whether I would have learned more had I had more of a statistics background; it might have made it easier to go in-depth into some of the technically challenging parts. I probably could have spent additional focused time to understand the more confusing material, but that applies to any subject. There’s always a tradeoff: should I spend more time understanding every aspect of the t-test derivation, or should I learn how to not be an incompetently bad C programmer, or should I simply waste time and blog?
One of the challenges with a technical course like this one is, as usual, following the lectures in real time. Like most of my Berkeley classes, I used sign language interpreting accommodations. No, they were not happy with interpreting this material, and it was hard for them to convey information to me. On the positive side, I had a consistent group so they were able to get used to some of the terminology.
In general, if I did not already deeply understand the material, it was very difficult for me to follow a lecture from start to finish. I can understand math-based lectures if I can follow the math derivation on the board, but with many of the proofs we wrote, we had to skip a lot of details, making it hard to get intuition. There are also a lot of technical details to take care of for many derivations (e.g., regarding measure theory). I wonder if the ability to fill in gaps between math and avoid getting bogged down with technicalities is what separates people like Professor Fithian versus the average statistics PhD student who will never have the ability to become a Berkeley statistics faculty member.
Regarding the quality of instruction, some might be concerned that since Professor Fithian is a new faculty member, the teaching would be sub-par. For me, this is not usually much of an issue. Due to limitations in sign language and my ability to hear, I always get relatively less benefit out of lectures as compared to other students, so direct lecture-teaching skill matters less to me as to whether there are written sources or sufficient office hours to utilize. (To be fair, it’s also worth noting that Professor Fithian won several teaching awards at Stanford, where he obtained his PhD.)
In case anyone is curious, I thought Professor Fithian did a fine job teaching, and he’s skilled enough such that the teaching quality shouldn’t be a negative factor for future students thinking of taking 210A (assuming he’s teaching it again). He moves at a relatively moderate pace in lectures with standard chalkboard to present details. He doesn’t use slides, but we occasionally got to see some of his R code on his computer, as well as his newborn child on Facebook!
I would be remiss if I didn’t make any suggestions. So here they are, ordered roughly from most important to least important:
If there’s any one suggestion I can make, it would be to increase the size of the chalkboard text/notes. For optimal positioning of sign language interpreting accommodations, I always sat in the front left corner of the room, and even then I often could not read what was on the far right chalkboard of the room. I can’t imagine how much harder it would be for the people in the back rows. In part, this may have been due to the limitations in the room, which doesn’t have elevated platforms for the back rows. Hopefully next semester they figure out better rooms for statistics courses.
I think the pace of the class was actually too slow during the first part of the course, about exponential families, sufficiency, Bayesian estimation, and so on, but then it became slightly too fast during the details on hypothesis testing. My guess is that most students will be familiar with the details on the first set of topics, so it’s probably fair to speed through them to get to the hypothesis testing portion, which is probably the more challenging aspect of the course. Towards the end of the semester I think the pace was acceptable, which means it’s slightly too fast for me but appropriate for other students.
Finally, I hope that in future iterations of the course, the problem sets are provided on a consistent basis and largely free of typos. We went off our once-a-week schedule several times, but still found a way to squeeze out 11 problem sets. Unfortunately, some of the questions either had typos or worse, major conceptual errors. This often happens when Professor Fithian has to create his own questions, which is partly out of necessity to avoid repeating old questions and risk students looking up solutions online. I did not look up solutions to the problem set questions, though I used the web for the purposes of background material and to learn supporting concepts (Wikipedia is great for this, so are other class websites which use slides) for every problem set. I’m not sure if this is standard among students, but I think most would need to do so to do very well on the problem set.
Well, that’s all I want to say now. This is definitely the longest I’ve written about any class at Berkeley. Hopefully this article provides the best and most comprehensive description of STAT 210A in the blogosphere. There’s a lot more I can talk about but there’s also a limit to how long I’m willing to write.
Anyway, great class!
Professor Fithian: “sorry, not my idea.” ↩
This semester, as I mentioned in an earlier blog post, I was one of two GSIs1 for the Deep Neural Networks course at Berkeley, taught by Professor John Canny. This was a surprise, because I was not planning on being a GSI for any class until Fall 2017. I wanted to have time to carefully think about and plan my GSI experience beforehand, perhaps by talking to previous GSIs or learning more about becoming an effective teacher. In addition, I was hoping to write a few technical articles here, and maybe some students would find them helpful. They would have to search for my blog themselves, though, since I usually don’t actively tell people about this website.
Well, so much for that. I got appointed several weeks into the course, after I had done the first assignment as a normal student. How did it happen? After Yang You (the other GSI) got appointed, he talked to me after class to ask about the possibility of being a GSI, since he knew that I was one of John Canny’s students. I thought about it and decided to join. John was a little hesitant at first and worried that I would spend too much time trying to help out the students, but after I promised him “not to spend more than 15 hours a week on this course” John agreed to have me appointed as a 10-hour GSI.2 This process was certainly rushed and I had to scramble through Berkeley’s annoying administrative requirements.
Fortunately, things soon settled down as normal. My first set of duties consisted of grading homework and providing comments on Piazza. I contacted the Stanford CS 231n team, but did not get a response which contained a rubric, so Yang and I had to create our own for the assignments. After I figured out a good workflow to downloading and managing Jupyter Notebooks, I was usually able to grade relatively quickly by running a select subset of the Notebook cells and spot-checking the plots.
There were four programming assignments in this course. The first three were adapted from CS 231n at Stanford, and the fourth one was a reinforcement learning homework assignment which John and I had to create. It asked questions regarding Deep-Q Networks and Policy Gradients. Some of the homework was unclear, and we only had two reinforcement learning lectures in the course — neither of which mentioned DQN — so I think in future iterations of the course, either the lecture arrangement or the fourth assignment (or both) should be substantially revised.
CS 294-129 also contained an in-class midterm (80 minutes). Professor Canny created the midterm and I helped to revise and clarify it. One regret I have is that I didn’t create any questions. While the midterm was OK and fair, I would have designed it in a slightly different way and would have made it more challenging. Grading was easy due to Gradescope.
I also made a mistake just before the midterm. Professor Canny had said that students were allowed to use “one page of notes”. A student asked a question on Piazza inquiring about whether this was one-sided or two-sided. I had always thought one page meant two-sided, and the day before the midterm, I provided an answer: “two-sided”. Oops. Professor Canny almost immediately replied saying one-sided. To the students who had to rewrite their cheat sheet for the exam due to this, I am genuinely sorry. After that, I made sure not to jump the gun on administration questions.
While the class has programming assignments and a midterm as mentioned earlier, the most important part of CS 294-129 is the student project assignment, done in groups of 1-4 students. We set aside four lectures for student project presentations, two in the week before the midterm and two in the last week of classes. (I think this is a bit too much, and would probably have set the first presentation week to be more about DQN and some other core Deep Learning concept.)
The 83 students who took the midterm collectively formed 36 project teams. Thus, 18 teams presented each day. We set aside 3 minutes for the first presentation week and 5 minutes for the second presentation week, since we started class 30 minutes earlier. The course staff graded both sets of presentations, and I was responsible for collecting all our feedback together to give a final grade along with written feedback. Here is a list containing some common feedback I gave:
Please respect the time limits.
Please use large text everywhere on figures: title text, axes text, legend text, etc. Come on everyone, this is really easy due to matplotlib.
Please don’t clog your slides with a long list of text. If I want to read the text, I can read the final report. (And students in the audience who may want more detail are free to contact the presenters.)
Please look at the audience when talking and project your voice while speaking with confidence. One might wonder if it is appropriate for a deaf person to provide comments on this material. In my case, it is OK for the following reasons: the other GSI and the professor also wrote comments about this, and my sign language interpreters can tell me if there’s a student who speaks too softly.
Please respect the time limits.
I also noticed an interesting contrast between the presentations in this class versus those of CS 294-115, the Algorithmic Human-Robot Interaction class. Our presentations did not contain that much humor, and I don’t think we laughed a lot. In contrast, the CS 294-115 presentations were substantially more humorous. Why is that??
As I said, I combined the feedback from the course staff to provide grades for the presentations. I learned more about the students and the exciting work they were doing, but the process of grading these presentations took about a full day. Indeed, grading tends to be one of the more cumbersome aspects of being a GSI/TA, but putting things in perspective, I think my grading experience was “less bad” than those of other GSIs. I was pleasantly surprised that I didn’t get too many grading complaints. This is a graduate course, and the undergrads who lasted the entire semester are also probably more skilled than the average undergraduate EECS student, so the students would generally have produced better work. It also helps that the grading curve for EECS graduate courses provides more As by default.
There was something far worse than grading, however. The worst part of being a GSI was, without question, that not a single student attended my office hours! I know I started late as a GSI, but I still had about seven or eight weeks of office hours. I guess I really am unpopular.
Sadly, this course will not be offered next semester, but there is an alternative in CS 294-112, which I expect to be popular. Professor Canny might be willing to teach CS 294-129 again next fall, and I might also be willing to be the GSI again, so we’ll see if that happens. If it does, I hope to be more popular with the students while also demanding strong work effort. If not, well, I think I enjoyed the GSI experience overall and I’m happy I did it. I hope the students enjoyed the class!
GSI stands for “Graduate Student Instructor” and is the same thing as a Teaching Assistant. ↩
As far as I can tell, during the semester students can sign up to be a 10-hour or a 20-hour GSI, with 40-hour GSIs reserved for summer courses. Of course, by now I’ve learned to treat any “X-hour job” with skepticism that it’s actually an “X-hour” job. ↩
Update December 20, 2016: This is interesting. The Wall Street Journal just published a fantastic opinion piece about Mitt Romney and Russia, and even says people should give Mr. Romney an apology, just as I said! No, I wasn’t reading their minds, this was just pure coincidence.
Another day, more news about Russian shenanigans. The CIA and other intelligence agencies have now concluded with high confidence that Russia was behind the hacks that leaked documents from Democratic political campaigns, presumably with the goal of tilting the election towards Mr. Trump.
At the same time, Trump is also nominating people who, while not necessarily pro-Russian, aren’t explicitly anti-Russian instead. I am most worried about his nominee for Secretary of State, ExxonMobil CEO Rex Tillerson, who has ties with Russia extensive enough that he even has an Order of Friendship from Vladimir Putin.
I strongly agree with Senator Marco Rubio’s tweet: “Being a ‘friend of Vladimir’ is not an attribute I am hoping for from a #SecretaryOfState”. Regarding the Secretary of State selection for the upcoming Trump administration, my preferred candidate was Mitt Romney by a mile. For a variety of reasons, everyone else (Giuliani, Tillerson, Bolton, Petraeus, etc.) collectively formed a “distant second” group.
I was not following politics too closely at the time when Mr. Romney’s comment about Russia being the “number one geopolitical foe” garnered substantial attention. But the more that I see Russia’s meddling into our affairs, and the more I also learn about what Vladimir Putin has done as President of Russia — among them, crippling freedom of the press and supporting the Syrian government — the more I find myself gravitating towards Mr. Romney’s stance on Russia.
This is my plea to our Congresspeople: use the issue of Russia to get back to bipartisanship by carrying out a much-needed Congressional investigation of Russia’s actions. The Republicans may find it harder to agree with this since it carries the implicit assumption that they’re going against their president-elect. Tradition is hard to break, however, and the Republican party has been anti-Russia for decades. This is their best shot at getting bipartisan cooperation towards a hard-line Russian stance. With Democrats presumably ready to join them now that they have seen the impact of Russia’s actions firsthand, all the momentum is there. Congress should explore and recommend actions to deter Russia, such as more economic sanctions, an increasingly aggressive cyberdefense, or enforcing a no-fly zone in Syria (admittedly, this might be a reach).
Perhaps there could be other things that Democrats could do to make such cooperation more likely. One could be a promise that, regardless of the investigation outcome, they would not challenge the legitimacy of a Trump administration.
A second could be this: anyone who mocked or otherwise strongly disagreed with Mr. Romney’s characterization of Russia as the “number one geopolitical foe” must be willing to apologize.